If you want to understand a fairly non-trivial amount of the brokenness of the world, pondering the implications of "Hey, what if we thought about what our incentives will actually do instead of what we want them to do, and made plans based on that?" being a brilliant and bold breakthrough in the world of governance rather than common sense can take you a long way.

That's the fun thing about common sense, everybody has a different definition of it.

The only way to know what your incentives will do is let them play out. Now, you can make educated guesses on what will happen, but much like computer security, people find surprising ways to break things.

It's funny that they call it "reverse game theory", like it's a new thing, when it's actually just regular game theory.