Goldman Sachs has been sandbagging their crude forecasts so hilariously that I'm convinced they're frontrunning their customers.
Do they meaningfully deviate from their peers?
Not really. It's just that the divergence in price analysis coming out of banks vs the what people in the oil industry are saying is just so ridiculous that I refuse to believe that the hotshot analysts at GS/JPM are that ignorant.
> divergence in price analysis coming out of banks vs the what people in the oil industry are saying
Source for a consensus from oil? The crack spread shows refiners pricing in higher prices [1].
If the domestic refiners and producers can’t agree, why is the homogenous opinion of the banks a conspiracy?
[1] https://rbnenergy.com/market-data/3-2-1-crack-spread