Remix.run Logo
molszanski 3 hours ago

> We won't be in a supply crunch forever.

This what always happens in capitalism. Scarcity is almost always followed by glut

drecked 3 hours ago | parent [-]

I don’t believe we are seeing the investments necessary that would indicate this will happen.

Memory makers, for example, have sold out their inventory for several years, but instead of investing to manufacture more, they’re shutting down their consumer divisions. They’re just transferring their consumer supply to their B2B (read AI) supply instead.

Thats likely because they don’t expect this demand to last past a few years.

fmajid 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

They have seen boom and bust cycles previously and are understandably wary of expanding capacity for expected demand that may fizzle. If they stay too conservative, China’s CXMT is chomping at the bit to eat their lunch, backed by the Chinese government, but that’s not going to help until late 2027 at best.

bitmasher9 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

If the demand lasts for a few years, I’m doubtful that all of the consumer capacity will come back.