Perfect example of a base rate fallacy - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy

What percentage of GitHub activity goes to GitHub repos with less than 2 stars? I would guess it's close to the same number.

My reaction as well -- I have a few dozen public repos of 100% human-written code, most are 0 stars!

The actual number is that 98% have less than 2 stars (0 or 1). About 90.25% has zero stars.

Yeah. Most of my public repos have 0 stars. Most of what I write sucks.

Off topic, but it reminds me of another principle: every geographic heatmap is just a population map. https://xkcd.com/1138/

There is still a sampling bias if you compare blanket human written repos. I would guess people are far more likely to share their homework assignments, experiments, hackathon results, weekend toys, etc. as a public repo if they put some amount of work into it. I would guess minority of those would get any stars at all. If the whole thing was generated by AI in less then 20 minutes, I would guess they are more likely to simply throw it away when they are done with it.

Personally I think comparing github stars is always going to be a fraught metric.