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redwood 4 hours ago

I see a lot of people throw this "no revolution" perspective around when everyone involved has been very clear to the Iranian people: that this is the time to stay safe and inside. People rising up will take time, and will be highly unpredictable. No one said otherwise. You imply "analysts already had this all identified" yet you are putting forward a supposition here that's just wildly unrealistic.

ses1984 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Donald trump addressed the Iranian people in a video message and told them to rise up when the war began.

Pay08 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Link?

ses1984 an hour ago | parent [-]

https://x.com/i/status/2027651077865157033

redwood 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

That was in January

ses1984 an hour ago | parent [-]

No actually it was feb 28th

https://x.com/i/status/2027651077865157033

redwood 12 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

I think you're conflating the details with what he explicitly was saying on January 13th

redwood 14 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Did you even listen to the link you just posted? He makes very clear in his instructions to the Iranian people that they should stay sheltered as bombs will be dropping.

erezsh 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Seriously, all these armchair "experts" are missing very obvious truths -

1) Every authority figure is telling the Iranian people to stay inside and wait.

2) Revolutions don't happen overnight, the same way that businesses don't succeed overnight, even though from far away it might seem that way.

3) Official Israeli statements estimate it could take up to a year after the war is over for a successful overthrow, even if everything is going according to plan.

The truth is there's a lot of people who want this war to fail, because it will align with their political convictions and hopes.

enaaem an hour ago | parent | next [-]

I will predict right now that no revolution will happen. Revolutions happen because of fragmentation within the regime. If there is one thing that puts all grievances aside then that would be an existential war. Just like during the Iran-Iraq war.

watwut an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Israel does not want functional moderate goverment in Iran. It would bomb and kill anyone who tries that. Israels plan is to periodically bomb and keep Iran failed state.

It is working on making itself larger cleansing whole areas around it and settling it.

WarmWash 29 minutes ago | parent [-]

Israel doesn't want delusional theocrats running Iran.