There is also a big real world experience element that is hard to account for mathematically.

There are stories of ukrainian operators expressing bewilderment and BCC countries sending 8x interceptors at millions a pop at a 20k shaheed. The world doesn't seem to have acclimatized to well...how the world works now.

There is a very fundamental disconnect at play here and I fear it'll get us all into trouble

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mattmaroon 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Well, it’s less about the value of the interceptor and more about the value of what the drones are heading for. If it’s a desalination plant that makes 20% of your freshwater, eight missiles are probably well worth it because a lot of people can die.

Middle Eastern countries have much more condensed critical infrastructure and economic targets than we do.

Iran has expected a war like this for decades and been continuously preparing, most of the other nations they have not.

	▲	Havoc 43 minutes ago \| parent [-]
		That logic right there is why the US is going to lose. That math only works in isolation The Ukrainians don’t think about today’s tradeoff but also about tomorrows. They learned that when when a three day special operation turned into four years. You have to match your best defenses against the best expected incoming attack- across time- even if it means taking a hit. Yes desalination plant included The us doctrine of defend all the things all the time against everything has failed in light of modern drone warefare