Among the various ways this analysis is flawed,

two that are drawn from my own experience are:

- meaningful software still takes meaningful time to develop

- not all software is packaged for everyone

I've seen a lot of examples shared of software becoming narrow-cast, and/or ephemeral.

That that doesn't show up in library production or even app store submissions is not interesting.

I'm working on a large project that I could never have undertaken prior to contemporary assistance. I anticipate it will be months before I have something "shippable." But that's because it's a large project, not a one shot.

I was musing that this weekend: when do we see the first crop of serious and novel projects shipping, which could not have been done before (at least, by individual devs)... but which still took serious time.

Could be a while yet.