| ▲ | babelfish 5 hours ago |
| I don't think Ed has made a single correct LLM prediction, despite posting in a fury probably monthly since ChatGPT was released. Grifters gonna grift |
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| ▲ | arctic-true 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| Not sure it qualifies as an “LLM prediction,” but he was adamant that Nvidia would not come through with the $100 billion funding round, and sure enough they did not. |
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| ▲ | ua709 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" |
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| ▲ | Esophagus4 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | This is the crutch of everyone unwilling to actually put their money on the line and bet. “I think AI is a bubble and it’s going to collapse” “Ok, then there are ways to bet against it if you’re really sure” “Oh I’m sure I’m right, it’s just that the market might take a long time to realize I’m right” Come on… there was no subtlety in the article at all. He said it’s all a house of cards, it’s all going to collapse, it’s all a grift… surely someone that certain should be willing to put something in… | |
| ▲ | bdangubic 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | "If you keep predicting market crash every single day of your life you will be the greatest predictor in the history of mankind because markets do eventually crash a little" |
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| ▲ | CodingJeebus 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| To Ed's credit, he's coming with real numbers. Much of his reporting is based on quarterly earnings reports, press releases, correlating reports from outlets like The Information, etc. Contrast that with hyperscalers no longer reporting AI revenue separately, making bold claims about long term growth with no evidence to back it up, and a tech media apparatus that has largely avoided asking founders hard questions. I know just as well as you how this is all going to turn (which is to say, nobody really knows). But I'll take the person doing the math over the person trying to hide numbers all day long. |
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| ▲ | simianwords 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | See this [1] for how he comes up with numbers. I think he says a lot of things without understanding and not many serious participants in the area takes him seriously. [1] https://x.com/binarybits/status/2034376359909130249 | | |
| ▲ | CodingJeebus 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Feel free to point out where the numbers are wrong in this article. If you're right about his ability to math, then you'll have no problem identifying concrete aspects of this piece that are wrong. | | |
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| ▲ | miltonlost 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| I don't think Sam Altman has made a single correct AGI prediction, despite saying AGI is a few months off. Grifters gonna grift |
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| ▲ | simianwords 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | burnished 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You may be a bit emotionally invested in this topic if you feel you're getting a lot of information from that exchange. | | |
| ▲ | simianwords 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Why do you think so? | | |
| ▲ | sarchertech 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Because you’ve posted a dozen times here and it seems to be about the only topic you post on. | | |
| ▲ | simianwords 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | What topic do you mean? | | |
| ▲ | sarchertech 25 minutes ago | parent [-] | | What topic do you think? I was in another thread and saw someone post this completely independent of me noticing it: “There's definitely some people working overtime to overhype AI on here. like 50% of the comments on this are from simianwords who only posts when people say negative AI sentiments.” |
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| ▲ | bigstrat2003 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Anyone with a single drop of common sense knows that Sam Altman is a grifter. If you don't see that, you are quite simply not bothering to apply critical thinking. | | |
| ▲ | WarmWash 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Altman is a grifter who is floating on the unexpectedly rapid advances in AI. He will likely end up like Musk, another grifter who was floating on low hanging fruit in EV's and rocketry for a decade before being revealed. | |
| ▲ | simianwords 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The guy predicting a world changing technological revolution 12 years ago and he pioneered it himself. That is the opposite of a grifter. | | |
| ▲ | genthree 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | His entire role in it is the grifting part (raising money based on BS). His job is, and has been at this and other companies, grifting. You loop him in if you need a hype-man who'll say any crazy thing to bring in a buck. | | |
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| ▲ | miltonlost 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Lol, he "did" it. Sam did nothing himself. CEOs, glorified spokespeople, don't do anything. Bet you also think Musk "made" electric cars and rockets That blogpost also didn't really "predict" anything. lol u think it's marxist to say Sam Altman didn't make ChatGPT when he didn't do a single line of code | | |
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