and the parties that initiated it know that. they actually have no interest in geo-strategic goals. they are interested only in selfish commercial ones.

The US is an oil exporting country and the people pulling the puppet strings of the dominant party in power directly benefit from high oil prices.

Further, oligarchical political-economic structures also benefit from "chaos is a ladder" scenarios where their privileged knowledge and access to decision makers gives them the ability to benefit from every new conflagration. The insider trading examples are only the trip of the iceberg.

The "war" will wind down after they've made their profits and redistributed the wealth and control as they set out to do.

Gone are the days where ruling elites benefited from international commercial stability. Those with power right now want chaos, and they will continue to create it until they are held to account.

Note that all of above applies just as well to the rulers of Iran as it does to the United States. It is the people who suffer, not the elites.

I don't think so. I think Trump just thought it would be easy and with no repercussions.