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inaros 9 hours ago

>> The war should not be won. it should be ended before everyone loses.

My analysis and my comment I linked to agrees. And that is a strategic victory for Iran, Russia, China and a defeat for Israel, and the US. The worst will be the Gulf States hostages of their dueling stock pile of defense missiles running out...to which they will have to queue for, with US DOD at the front of the queue.

password54321 5 hours ago | parent [-]

>a defeat for Israel

False, Israel has used the whole war to take over Lebanon almost silently from mass media attention. They are about to annex a part of it.

pasquinelli 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> False, Israel has used the whole war to take over Lebanon almost silently from mass media attention.

i wonder why you think mass media attention would matter.

password54321 2 hours ago | parent [-]

If public opinion didn't matter on geopolitics we wouldn't see massive astroturfing campaigns across the internet.

pasquinelli 30 minutes ago | parent [-]

maybe. that's a fair point. public opinion has moved away from israel so even the mass media in america might be a little less generous to israel, which would turn even more people away from israel.

ngruhn 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

They are at war because Hezbollah attacked... again.

password54321 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Let me repeat: They are about to annex a sovereign nation while reducing the capital city to rubble. May or may not remind you of another country further north.

ngruhn 2 hours ago | parent [-]

> remind you of another country further north

It would remind me of that if Ukraine attacked first... over and over again throughout the last decades... together with it's allies in the region... occasionally abducting a few hundred Russia civilians... there is no parallel here.

megous 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No proof of course.

mmooss 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Israel has been bombing (and conducting raids in?) Lebanon for years. They attacked Hezbollah's ally, Iran. And Hezbollah has been attacking Israel for years. It's not true that the conflict began with Hezbollah's recent actions.

ngruhn 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

They had a ceasefire which was broken by Hezbollah. Just like last time (2023). And the time before that (2006). And the time before that (2000).

There is this one weird trick for lasting piece with Israel: stop being hostile.

password54321 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It is almost as if they baited a response and had already planned a ground invasion long ago.