The analogy of thinking of coding AI like it's chess AI is terrible. If chess AI was at the level of coding AI, it wouldn't win a single game.

This kind of thinking is actually a big reason why execs are being misinformed into overestimating LLM abilities.

LLM coding agents alone are not good enough to replace any single developer. They only make a developer x% faster. That dev who is now x% faster may then allow you to lay off another dev. That is a subtle yet critical difference.

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lugu a day ago | parent [-]

I like the chess analogy as it answer the question: why can't i see those gain?

To adress your point, let's try another one analogy. Imagine secreterial assistants, discussing their risk of been replaced by computers in the 80s. They would think: someone still need to type those letters, sit next to that phone and make those appointments, I am safe. Computers won't replace me.

It is not that AI will do all of your tasks and replace you. It is that your role as a specialist in software development won't be necessary most of the time (someone will do that, and that person won't call themselves a programmer).

	▲	roncesvalles a day ago \| parent \| next [-]
		Secretarial assistant as a profession is still very alive, and the title has been inflated to stratospheric heights (and compensation): "Chief of Staff"
	▲	lordkrandel 11 hours ago \| parent \| prev \| next [-]
		If it worked, I would agree. AI just helped me finding bugs in some hashing function today, ok, nice. But only after 3 hours I got any result out of it, with 13 years of experience. My feeling is that newbies are creating todo lists with react , just like it has been copied from someone's tutorial they didnt bother to read before, and now they feel powerful. But hey, let them do our taxes then! And they get screwed in 0 seconds.
	▲	pydry a day ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		I imagine if they tried to replace typists with keyboards that produced plausible looking words that were entirely wrong half the time then we'd probably still have plenty of typists. I tend to find that the volume of automation predictions inversely correlates to how real they are. When capitalists actually have the automation tech they dont shout about it they just do it quietly and collect the profits. When, say, Bezos is worried about his unionizing workforce and wants to intimidate - that's when the hot takes and splashy media articles about billions invested in automation "coming for yer jerb" you read about get published.