> All of these occulted skills, that we literally can't explain why they work are akin to gamblers superstitions.

Yes, it's hard to see how, at this moment in time, "Anybody can write code with an LLM" is so different from "Anybody can make money in the stock market."

The underlying mechanisms are completely different, of course, and the putative goal of the LLM purveyors is to make it where anybody really can write code with an LLM.

I'm typically a nay-sayer and a perfectionist, but many not-so-great things become and stay popular, and this may fall into that category.

> Kind of weird tools also incorporate addictive gambling game's UX design.

It's unclear it started out this way, but since it's obviously going this way, it is certainly prudent to ask if some of this is by design. It would presumably be more worrisome if there were only a single vendor, but even with multiple vendors, it might be lucrative for them to design things so that "true insider knowledge" of how to make good prompts is a sought-after skill.

Broadly speaking, LLMs are destined to fail.

Why? Because all the folks involved have created a technology in search for a problem to solve. That never, ever works. Steve Jobs of all people left this piece of wisdom behind. Its amazing how few actually apply it.

The internet was never this - its origins go back to the need to able to transmit data - darpa. And this is what we still do now...