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tonymet 7 hours ago

what they didn't mention is that supply didn't impact rents until the large remigration back out of Austin

JumpCrisscross 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> what they didn't mention is that supply didn't impact rents until the large remigration back out of Austin

This has been studied to death. But just like soybean farmers in Idaho voting for tariffs on China it seems a category of urban renter is more wedded to ideology than self interest.

The Austin metro area's population is up [1][2]. Austin's GDP is up [3]. Migration per se doesn't explain a phenomenon that is robust across cities, countries and centuries.

[1] https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/22926/aust...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austin,_Texas#Demographics

[3] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPALL48453

tonymet 4 hours ago | parent [-]

2-3% is a margin of error compared to 20-40+% y/o/y growth. That means the influx ceased, some left, some had babies. Meanwhile housing was built.

Of course rents will crash if everyone anticipates 20-40% growth and it’s suddenly 0 . Let’s see in a few years if the pricing trend continues downward or upward.

If it’s downward, yes we’ve solved the rent problem by “building”. If it’s upward, as it has been, it’s not just about supply .

abigail95 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

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