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nighthawk454 8 hours ago

There's trillions of dollars sitting in indexes that are quite literally 'passively' invested. Virtually everything holds this bundle in one way or another. Passive indexing has both outperformed and overtaken active investing - leading a lot of money into VOO/VTI/QQQ/etc that track the S&P500 or some other index ("the market"). For retirement funds like 401ks, retail contributes money every paycheck that gets routed into these indexes. There may not even be much of a choice - your 'plan' may only let you pick some kind of "Target Date Fund" and then the institution picks what it goes into, usually indexes.

If you fully actively managed your own money and picked mostly individual stocks (not broad indexes) then yeah you could change your allocations. But there's a lot of money already in.

markisus 6 hours ago | parent [-]

QQQ is problematic because it’s influenced by strange back room dealings with Space X, if the article is to be believed.

VTI is different. It literally tracks all public stocks, weighted by market cap so no such manipulation is possible.

If a bunch of people will be forced to buy Space X (QQQ holders), active investors will short the stock in anticipation of market correction and money will flow from those who were forced to buy. I’m sure there are other ways to take advantage of a forced buyer situation.

Total market will be unaffected, assuming efficient market hypothesis / no arbitrage.

nighthawk454 5 hours ago | parent [-]

QQQ is not in isolation. It’s just a bundle of stocks. Rebalancing that will affect the prices of its constituent stocks, which include some of the highest market cap stocks. Those same stocks are also in many of those other popular market-cap weighted indexes (VTI, VOO, SPY, etc). Price action originating from Nasdaq 100 rebalancing would affect everywhere else those stocks are held. Which is a lot of places.

Except those other indexes won’t have SpaceX. Suggesting any index price moves would be … asymmetric at best.

Now it’s being reported that they’re angling to get SpaceX in the S&P 500 index as well [1]. Maybe if all the indexes get it then it balances out everywhere, who knows. This whole event would be in beyond unprecedented territory.

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-weighs-rule-changes-speed-1...