The future will not be evenly distributed. You can't expect to see it in the productivity of the industry as a whole, or even the productivity of a large company. You might be able to see it in a medium-sized team if you measure carefully.

I think I agree with you. I didn't mean to imply that big corps will build faster (or more) -- in fact I said I don't expect them to right now, and I'm not so sure that will change.

What I believe is that early prototype development and pivoting is insanely fast now. And if you find excellent engineers who are also great product people, and then pair them with people who have truly great ideas, many wonderful new products will emerge.

So, it sounds like measuring directly in individual individuals or companies might be tough. (Unless the company is medium-sized?) Maybe we could look for broader trends in the economy and beyond. What sorts of companies will this manifest in? I.e. mostly "tech" companies, or beyond?