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bluGill 14 hours ago

Even if this was a reliable signal for most of us it shouldn't change anyway. Timing the market is hard, so if you have a job keep investing in your retirement accounts and let dollar cost averaging work it out - odds are you are buying at fire sale prices. If you are one of those who lose your job - it doesn't matter much if the economy is good or bad, you need to adjust a lot of things (even in the best of times sometimes by chance you can be out of work for a long time)

If you are the manager of a mutual fund you can take useful action on signals like this if you can figure out what they mean. Most people don't have enough money to be worth trying to take action.

bittercynic 14 hours ago | parent [-]

You may not be able to properly let dollar cost averaging do its thing if you rely on your job to invest, since there's a high correlation between periods where people are out of work and periods where asset prices are lower.

bluGill 14 hours ago | parent [-]

Even in the worst part of the great depression 75% of the people had a job. Most years where much better.

Don't get me wrong, if you don't have a job things are bad. If you have a job but it isn't giving good raises, or it is a worse job than you are qualified for things are bad. However things are not hopeless for the majority of people even when things are really bad, and you can get through it.