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JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago

> go off about how we're such a better country that believes in freedom and goodness

Better than China as a global model? Still, yes, probably. Potentially. Depends on how the next few years ago.

Even if America fails, I’d argue a global republic is a brighter potential future than a global dictatorship.

keybored 13 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Even if more illegal wars are started in the Middle East, even if inequality gets more obscene, VCs on HN are still going to insist that We The Good Guys are the champions of freedom, equality, justice, all the good stuff that we don’t practice (but we have great ideas about).

JumpCrisscross 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> VCs on HN are still going to insist that We The Good Guys are the champions of freedom, equality, justice, all the good stuff that we don’t practice (but we have great ideas about)

They might. I’m not. There is an analogy here to perfect being the enemy of good. Or, at the very least, the pragmatic better.

keybored 13 hours ago | parent [-]

It’s the usual feigned comparison. America is a republic and if you don’t agree well, go to Reddit and argue about it; meanwhile China is just a dictatorship. American “crimes“ are dismissed with some rhetorical non-response like “hmmph, no one claimed we are perfect”, or immediately contrasted with some arbitrary Chinese “crime”, then dropped just as fast; even someone bringing up contemporary killing of Iranian schoolchildren gets contrasted with the “Indian Removal Act stuff” as if, you know, someone didn’t just now bring up something that America did last week. You bring up the ideal of “the American experiment”, then when someone brings up inconvenient facts the Tiananmen Square Massacre makes an appearance.

But to your credit you brought up the Pretti shooting. I have to analyze how that demonstrates why the “AI values” should reflect American ones.

Judge my enemies by their actions. Judge me by my words. About myself...

JumpCrisscross 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> American “crimes“ are dismissed with some rhetorical non-response like “hmmph, no one claimed we are perfect”, or immediately contrasted with some arbitrary Chinese “crime”, then dropped just as fast

America debates and exhibits its faults, at least internally. The Tulsa Massacre is a movie and cultural discussion point in a way Tiananmen Square is not in China. Neither should have happened. And neither is universally acknowledged or atoned for. But if we’re debating which system AI should emulate, I know it’s not just the one that explicitly buries its faults.

> Judge my enemies by their actions. Judge me by my words

Judge both by both. The ability to have words about shameful actions is not meaningless.

linkregister 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

At no point have any of your arguers said they approve of the crimes perpetrated by the United States government. You repeatedly talk past them while only tangentially addressing their points. Your comments assume bad faith and make liberal use of pejoratives. My recommendation is to self-reflect.

raven12345 11 hours ago | parent [-]

He was simply saying that the same actions China takes are repeatedly brought up, while those the US takes are forgotten after a while.

linkregister 10 hours ago | parent [-]

That is a charitable interpretation. I should follow your example.

keybored 5 hours ago | parent [-]

It’s good that you are reflecting.

ang_cire 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The real lie here is that there's an ethical superpower.

Just like being a billionaire (or, super-wealther, if you will), you don't get to be a superpower by doing good things.

China and the US can both be bad, and they're both going to use AI for mass internal and external surveillance and weapon targeting.

loeber 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is both (1) not necessarily true -- there's no first-principles reason why being powerful implies being unethical -- and (2) deeply pessimistic and defeatist. You can apply whataboutism and say that everyone's equally bad, but I assure you that there's a pretty big difference, even down to your quality life, between the types of systems you choose to participate in.

kelnos 14 hours ago | parent [-]

It's not pessimistic or defeatist; you first have to recognize the limitations and failure modes of your system before you can think about changing it.

Is it possible to live in a world where powerful entities have gotten there through ethical means? Sure. We don't live in that world, though.

And yes, if I said "name me one powerful person/entity that got there through ethical means", I'm sure you could give me a name. But that name would surely be an outlier.

JumpCrisscross 13 hours ago | parent [-]

Help me through the practical implications of this logic. We should concede to Chinese AI dominance because we can’t do it perfectly?

JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> real lie here is that there's an ethical superpower

It’s a lie in the way cats are round is a lie—actually a lie, but one nobody brought up.

I don’t think Dwarkesh is arguing for global American hegemony. Just that if AI becomes dominant, having AIs embedded with American cultural values, broadly, is probably better than having ones seeded with Xi Jinping thought.

> China and the US can both be bad, and they're both going to use AI for mass internal and external surveillance and weapon targeting

Agree. But I don’t think any Chinese AI companies get to sue the CCP over it.

pydry 15 hours ago | parent [-]

>AIs embedded with American cultural values, broadly, is probably better than having ones seeded with Xi Jinping thought.

I'd really rather have a choice of both rather than be forced to accept "AI that downplays a 2 year old genocide" over "AI that covers up a 40 year massacre".

JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago | parent [-]

> rather have a choice of both

You do. So do I. If American AI goes by the wayside, we cease to have that choice anymore.

BoredPositron 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A republic without the rule of law is not a republic anymore.

JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago | parent [-]

> republic without the rule of law is not a republic anymore

An observation one can make when comparing a republic with the rule of law to one that ain’t, whether across time or geography. There is a real benefit to having the American experiment prominent and continuing.

BoredPositron 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Is there actually a benefit? Or are we just watching the slow motion collapse of another empire convinced of its own immortality? History is a graveyard of experiments that thought they were the exception to the rule.

JumpCrisscross 14 hours ago | parent [-]

> Is there actually a benefit? Or are we just watching the slow motion collapse of another empire convinced of its own immortality?

These aren’t mutually exclusive. The world is better off for Athens and the Roman and Harrapan and Haudenosaunee republics. (Book request: history of the republic. I’ve struggled to find one.)

The CCP with internal elections was interesting and a genuine riposte to broadly-enfranchised republics. Xi as a dictator is not, not.

BoredPositron 14 hours ago | parent [-]

But we are not talking about china.

JumpCrisscross 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> But we are not talking about china

Author literally is.

BoredPositron 13 hours ago | parent [-]

And in this subthread we are talking about republics which you are keen to mention china isn't.

JumpCrisscross 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> in this subthread we are talking about republics which you are keen to mention china isn't

This subthread is part of the broader discussion. There are lots of Reddit corners for debating whether America is a republic. I haven’t seen any novel arguments in a while. The argument for whether an American AI is useful out of an American republic, its dying republic or even its embers is the germane one here, and I think it speaks decisively in favor against the one that’s proudly autocratic without organized dissent.

BoredPositron 20 minutes ago | parent [-]

You are just sidestepping the discussion.

JumpCrisscross 10 minutes ago | parent [-]

> You are just sidestepping the discussion

I'm avoiding an irrelevant sideline. Big difference.

ang_cire 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> There is a real benefit to having the American experiment prominent and continuing.

The American 'experiment' is one long history of the US doing really horrible things, but giving ourselves a pass because we dress it up in the name of freedom and self-determination.

If you ignore our slavery and the genocide of Native Americans, it's easy to paint China's slavery and genocide as evils that are unique somehow.

The real experiment of America is in seeing how self-deluded we can become if we continuously reinforce the false premise that our institutions are intrinsically good (or at least, nebulously "better").

14 hours ago | parent | next [-]
[deleted]
kelnos 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The difference is that China's slavery and genocide is happening today, within its own borders.

Is that true of the US? Is there state-sanctioned/supported slavery in the US? Is the US committing genocide within its own borders? Arguably not?

This doesn't make the US perfect or wonderful. We've been politically and militarily supporting a genocide in Gaza, as a stark example.

But "the US did slavery and genocide in the past" and "China is doing slavery and genocide now" doesn't make the US and China equivalent today.

And on top of that, I can go out and protest my country supporting Israel's garbage in Gaza. If I were a Chinese citizen and tried to do something like that in China, I'd be jailed.

JumpCrisscross 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> real experiment of America is in seeing how self-deluded we can become

How would you contrast the responses to the Tiananmen Square Massacre [1] and that of Pretti’s shooting?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1989_Tiananmen_Square_protests...

propagandist 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

As much a republic as Rome was under Caligula.

margalabargala 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Add to that all the military posturing over Taiwan and it's clear that it's not "China doesn't do what the US does", it's "China hasn't done it...yet."

The idea that anyone would be better off with China supplanting the US is asinine. This is the same government that committed the Tiananmen square massacre and still doesn't acknowledge that anything happened.

ang_cire 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I don't see anyone arguing that we'd be better off with China, but I am arguing that neither the US or China can be trusted with this, so the author positing "US AI dominance good to keep China at bay" is bad.

margalabargala 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You quoted the article:

> The whole background of this AI conversation is that we’re in a race with China, and we have to win. But what is the reason we want America to win the AI race?

Right now there are two contenders for first in the AI race. The US, and China.

You spent the rest of your comment making the case that it is not good for the US to win. Implying, though not directly saying, we would be better off with China.

You can say "oh wouldn't it be nice if Europe won instead" but they don't have anything in the race right now. We're stuck with the US or China.

ang_cire 14 hours ago | parent [-]

> You spent the rest of your comment making the case that it is not good for the US to win. Implying, though not directly saying, we would be better off with China.

This is you putting words in my mouth. It's bad if either wins.

You seem to be operating under an unspoken personal belief that an AI race "win" inevitably spills out into global dominance.

I don't know that it won't, but you likewise don't know that it will, and I'm not beholden to debate things from your chosen premise.

I think AI will be bad for whoever is being targeted by it's controllers, but I don't think it will intrinsically disrupt the military spheres that exist now as a result of nuclear weaponry.

China will use its AI to hurt the people it's hurting now.

The US will use its AI to hurt the people it's hurting now.

Imho, the idea of an AI arms race "winner" is just the new face of the securitization rhetoric that we used to justify our military excursionism during the Cold War.

margalabargala 13 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm not putting words in your mouth, and in fact pointed out in my comment you never said this.

Read up on what it means to "imply" something.

Speaking of putting words in people's mouths:

> You seem to be operating under an unspoken personal belief that an AI race "win" inevitably spills out into global dominance.

This is the belief of the article we're all commenting on. Intelligent people are able to discuss concepts without endorsing them.

JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> the author positing "US AI dominance good to keep China at bay" is bad

My read is they’re saying we need an alternative to Chinese AI. Because with its industrial might, the default future is Chinese technological dominance.

pcthrowaway 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

People are certainly arguing this, and it's something I've come to believe as well.

kelnos 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I know people IRL that are so fed up with the US's bullshit that they do sometimes look at China and think their dominance might be better for the world. "Well, when's the last time China started a war or even deployed military forces in another country?", they ask... and I don't know how to respond to that (because they haven't, for at least 30 years that I can think of). And saying something like "well, they've been expanding their territory through extralegal means, and use coercion and grey-area tactics to get what they want" feels like an unsatisfying retort.

JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> it's "China hasn't done it...yet.”

China invaded and annexed Tibet in 1959. To the degree we had a classical definition of intent-based genocide, Beijing continues to commit it in Tibet and Xinjiang.

America’s conscious is stained. But it’s downright nonsense to go off about surveillance when the comparison is China.

ang_cire 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

1800 people detained at "alligator Alcatraz" had their records purged from ICE databases, and are completely unaccounted for. Literally disappeared, and the only people whose word we have they're alive are the same people who disappeared them.

Yes, the Uyghur genocide and paramilitary suppression and settler-colonialism of Tibet and Xinjiang is horrific, and will (hopefully) be recognized in the future as a genocide on par with others that 'enjoy' historical notoriety, but let's not pretend we're not well on our way to doing that here.

The rhetoric of ethnic superiority and nationalism and birthright that exists in our government is the exact same rhetoric that exists in Xi Jinping's "Imperial Han" nationalism.

scarecrowbob 11 hours ago | parent [-]

I dunno, personally I think it's actively worse; for instance I've read enough WEB DuBois and similar to know that chattel slavery didn't end because of some "goodness" in the part of the government which still is ruling us.

The same government that helped murder 2M folks in Iraq. The same gov that paid death squads to kill nuns in El Salvador.

At least China isn't in a position to have to reckon with how deep white supremacy runs in its culture.

In fact, when I hear folks from the US talk about china without understanding their own history of racism and genocide and how that shit is still going on, all I can conclude is that they are operating under the same racist delusions that have historically brought the US to do such horrific things to the world.

lovich 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I’m surveilled across pretty much every aspect of my life between basic Snowden level scooping of my data and public tracking like flock cameras. Democracy is increasingly becoming a joke as the richest in our society explicitly are trying to break it and we look more and more like mid 90s Russia.

I want the US to win because I live in the US and it will probably benefit me, but we’ve largely stopped pretending to value the republic so I don’t think we can claim a moral standing on these topics anymore.

To reference your other comment, the common American man has as much de facto ability to sue our government and/or leaders as the common Chinese man

M00nF1sh 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Is Trump really not a dictator? Meanwhile, China has been focusing on domestic development and investing in underdeveloped regions, including across Africa. China hasn't bombed girls' schools and then lied that it's their own country thrown the bomb.

albelfio 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

What the governments have done is different from what the cultural values of the two countries are. Chinese values and American values are different, and people can argue for one or the other. We, westerner, want our values to prevail. Dwarkesh wants to preserve our values of freedom.

317070 14 hours ago | parent [-]

> We, westerner, want our values to prevail.

This comes to the core of the issue, and is where I think the disagreement comes from. Many Westerners in fact do not want "Western" values to prevail.

Why? For me those values have led to outcomes so horrendously antithetical to _my_ values, that I would not wish them for the rest of the world. Even worse, this Western centrism has led to jingoist conclusions for at least 400 years.

JumpCrisscross 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Is Trump really not a dictator?

No. There is no court in Beijing that can tell Xi to knock it off.

> China hasn't bombed girls' schools

Read up on the treatment of Uyghur girls in the Chinese schools. It’s Indian Removal Act stuff, except right now.

Again, nobody is arguing America is a beacon of anything right now. But between America and China, one is an explicit and proud autocracy.

recursive 15 hours ago | parent [-]

What's the difference between a court whose orders you can ignore and a court that doesn't exist? Sounds like a question for the philosophers.

JumpCrisscross 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> What's the difference between a court whose orders you can ignore and a court that doesn't exist?

SCOTUS isn’t being ignored.

> Sounds like a question for the philosophers

And lawyers. It’s an interesting series of hypotheticals.

paulryanrogers 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> SCOTUS isn’t being ignored.

SCOTUS rules 90%+ for Trump (lower courts are 90%+ against). They've given him freedom from investigation and criminal prosecution. They aren't much of a bulwark.