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vividfrier 14 hours ago

Same. Whenever an article like this one pops up the comments seem to be filled with confirmation bias. People who don't see a productivity boost agree with the article.

I work at tech company just outside of big tech and I feel fairly confident that we won't have a need for the amount of developers we currently have within 3-4 years.

The bottleneck right now is reviewing and I think it's just a matter of time before our leadership removes the requirement for human code reviews (I am already seeing signs of this ("Maybe for code behind feature flags we don't need code reviews?").

Whenever there's an incident, there is a pagerduty trigger to an agent looking at the metrics, logs, software component graphs, and gives you an hypothesis on what the incident is due to. When I push a branch with test failures, I get one-click buttons in my PR to append commits fixing those tests failures (i.e. an agent analyses the code, the jira ticket, the tests, etc. and suggests a fix for the tests failing). We have a Slack agent we can ping in trivial feature requests (or bugs) in our support channels.

The agents are being integrated at every step. And it's not like the agents will stop improving. The difference between GPT3.5 and Opus 4.6 is so massive. So what will the models look like in 5 years from now?

We're cooked and the easiest way to tell someone works at a company who hasn't come very far in their AI journey is that they're not worried.