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jerf a day ago

None of this matters; this is guaranteed to go to the Supreme Court. Too much money, too much precedent. The only thing being established now is the battleground as the procedure of getting up to the Supreme Court. The actual rulings on the way up to the Supreme Court are of minimal consequence.

jtbayly a day ago | parent | next [-]

The Supreme Court already invalidated the tariffs. That’s the context of this order (and the subtitle of the article).

jerf a day ago | parent | next [-]

As sibling says, the Court very definitely did not order them to refund anything. They could have, and they didn't. The Court knew from the beginning that this was coming back to them.

You may see other judges rule that the refunds don't have to be paid, for any of several reasons. Whatever your desired outcome is, none of it matters until this gets to the Supreme Court. Given the nature of money, it doesn't even matter if some higher court refuses to give an injunction against the refunds being issued until after the appeal is considered and some set of refunds goes all the way through... no company that gets any money from a pre-SC refund can really use it until the entire matter is resolved at the SC level.

aw1621107 a day ago | parent | next [-]

> As sibling says, the Court very definitely did not order them to refund anything.

> You may see other judges rule that the refunds don't have to be paid, for any of several reasons.

I think the government might have a bit of an uphill battle given arguments they have previously made to courts. For example, consider this decision from the US Court of International Trade from 2025-12 [0]:

> However, as the Government notes in its response to Plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary injunction here, it “[has] made very clear—both in this case and in related cases—that [it] will not object to the [c]ourt ordering reliquidation of plaintiffs’ entries subject to the challenged IEEPA duties if such duties are found to be unlawful.”

> <snip>

> Judicial estoppel would prevent the Government from taking an inconsistent approach after a final result in V.O.S. [] The Government has emphasized this point itself, citing to Sumecht NA, Inc. v. United States, which holds that “the Government would be judicially estopped from taking a contrary position” regarding a prior representation involving the availability of relief in the form of reliquidation. [] Having convinced this court to accept that importers who paid IEEPA tariffs will be able to receive refunds after reliquidation, and having benefited from the court’s subsequent conclusion that importers will not experience irreparable harm as a consequence of liquidation, the Government cannot later “assume a contrary position” to argue that refunds are not available after liquidation.

> <snip>

> Additionally, the panel in In re Section 301 Cases unanimously agreed—as we do now—that the USCIT has “the explicit power to order reliquidation and refunds where the government has unlawfully exacted duties.” [] The Government acknowledges that “a decision [to the contrary] would be inconsistent with years of [the court’s] precedent.”

Obviously all this doesn't prevent the government from appealing anyways, but they'll need to get creative to get around their previous representations.

[0]: https://www.cit.uscourts.gov/sites/cit/files/25-154.pdf

jlarocco a day ago | parent | prev [-]

They didn't have to rule on it because there's already precedent that tariffs that shouldn't have been collected have to be repaid.

abcd_f a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

But they didn't say anything about refunding them and you can bet Trump will oppose that and ask the SCOTUS to decide on it. They of course have an option to take their time to render the decision and then just dismiss the case without a comment.

That's what the GP likely meant.

The circus must go on.

jtbayly a day ago | parent [-]

Thanks! I guess I wasn't understanding what jerf meant, and I hadn't read enough to be correcting people.

AnimalMuppet a day ago | parent | prev [-]

But (IIRC) the Supreme Court did not order that the tariffs be refunded. They left that issue open in their decision. So jerf may well be right.

HardCodedBias a day ago | parent | prev [-]

The actual question is if Eaton overstepped his authority in this ruling.

Instead of ruling narrowly that named plaintiffs would get a refund

Eaton expressly said:

"all importers of record" which is all who were subject to the IEEPA duties.

It is unclear if this is lawful.

He didn't have to do this at all. He could stuck with tradition here. He specifies why he did it in this case, but this opens the door.

Also note that he did not open the door to "final liquidations" getting refunds (it is unclear how many tariffs more than 180 days ago were not officially protested).