I did have the same thought, had a quick look (I'm not a polymarket user) and couldn't find a market relating to this project.

Put it this way, if it's in commercial operation by 2031 I'll eat my hat.

If the DOW needs fissile material, then you might be impressed at how fast things are done. The obstacles are mostly discretionary.

There is one, its hard to find. It only has about 19k of volume, so its very thinly traded.