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zackmorris 4 hours ago

Amazing paper. The simulated annealing portion reminds me of genetic algorithms (GAs). A good intro to that are the Genetic Programming series of books by John Koza, I read III in the early 2000s:

https://www.amazon.com/Genetic-Programming-III-Darwinian-Inv...

https://www.genetic-programming.com/

Note that the Python solution in the pdf is extremely short, so could have been found by simply trying permutations of math operators and functions on the right side of the equation.

We should be solving problems in Lisp instead of Python, but no matter. That's because Lisp's abstract syntax tree (AST) is the same as its code due to homoiconicity. I'm curious if most AIs transpile other languages to Lisp so that they can apply transformations internally, or if they waste computation building programs that might not compile. Maybe someone at an AI company knows.

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I've been following AI trends since the late 1980s and from my perspective, nothing really changed for about 40 years (most of my life that I had to wait through as the world messed around making other people rich). We had agents, expert system, fuzzy logic, neural nets, etc since forever, but then we got video cards in the late 1990s which made it straightforward to scale neural nets (NNs) and GAs. Unfortunately due to poor choice of architecture (SIMD instead of MIMD), progress stagnated because we don't have true multicore computing (thousands or millions of cores with local memories), but I digress.

Anyway, people have compared AI to compression. I think of it more as turning problem solving into a O(1) operation. Over time, what we think of as complex problems become simpler. And the rate that we're solving them is increasing exponentially. Problems that once seemed intractable only were because we didn't know the appropriate abstractions yet. For example, illnesses that we thought would never be cured now have vaccines through mRNA vaccines and CRISPR. That's how I think of programming. Now that we have LLMs, whole classes of programming problems now have O(1) solutions. Even if that's just telling the computer what problem to solve.

So even theorem proving will become a solved problem by the time we reach the Singularity between 2030 and 2040. We once mocked GAs for exploring dead ends and taking 1000 times the processing power to do simple things. But we ignored that doing hard things is often worth it, and is still a O(1) operation due to linear scaling.

It's a weird feeling to go from no forward progress in a field to it being effectively a solved problem in just 2 years. To go from trying to win the internet lottery to not being sure if people will still be buying software in a year or two if/when I finish a project. To witness all of that while struggling to make rent, in effect making everything I have ever done a waste of time since I knew better ways of doing it but was forced to drop down to whatever mediocre language or framework paid. As the problems I was trained to solve and was once paid to solve rapidly diminish in value because AI can solve them in 5 minutes. To the point that even inventing AGI would be unsurprising to most, so I don't know why I ever went into computer engineering to do exactly that. Because for most people, it's already here. As I've said many times lately, I thought I had more time.

Although now that we're all out of time, I have an uncanny feeling of being alive again. I think tech stole something from my psyche so profound that I didn't notice its loss. It's along the lines of things like boredom, daydreaming, wasting time. What modern culture considers frivolous. But as we lose every last vestige of the practical, as money becomes harder and harder to acquire through labor, maybe we'll pass a tipping point where the arts and humanities become sought-after again. How ironic would it be if the artificial made room for the real to return?

On that note, I read a book finally. Hail Mary by Andy Weir. The last book I read was Ready Player One by Ernest Cline, over a decade ago. I don't know how I would have had the bandwidth to do that if Claude hadn't made me a middle manager of AIs.