> will always lead to resolution at prices at a time prior to the death

But there might be an incentive to freeze the price? I think polymarkets should be banned.

"I bet X will not be assassinated on this date in this way" financial products were the primary reason polymarkets were banned over a century ago.

No idea if they've somehow been legalized as a rider to a 10,000 page appropriations bill, or if they're already illegal in the US.