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concinds 4 hours ago

No it's not. This is an air strike campaign, no boots on the ground. It'll end in two weeks. There is no chance China or Russia get involved, like last time, so "WW3" is completely non-credible.

AlecSchueler 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> ...no boots on the ground. It'll end in two weeks

Why do we never learn from history?

concinds 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

There are no ground ops and there is no possibility of any significant ground ops given current deployments.

JasonADrury 3 hours ago | parent [-]

And if Iran gets incredibly lucky and sinks an aircraft carrier or lands a sufficiently lucky hit on a military base?

Will there still be no possibility of ground deployments?

2 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
HauntingPin 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes ... why do we never learn from history? What's with the selective memory?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_war

The previous campaign lasted a whole 13 days and WW3 didn't start. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it'll be different now or why Russia or China would bother going to war for Iran. That makes zero sense.

sekai 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> The previous campaign lasted a whole 13 days and WW3 didn't start. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it'll be different now or why Russia or China would bother going to war for Iran. That makes zero sense.

We did not move 1/3 of operational USAF capacity and 33% of our deployable Navy for limited strikes.

HauntingPin 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Okay, and where's the army? I'm not sure what you're expecting without boots to put on the ground. Are the pilots gonna be ejecting to go hunt Khamenei? This argument is meaningless. Again, none of this can lead to WW3 and none of this can turn into a protracted war as in Ukraine-Russia.

You can stop when you have no idea what you're talking about, you know.

JumpinJack_Cash an hour ago | parent | next [-]

You seem like a Trump voter who voted for no more wars doing damage control

Boots on the ground can happen at any time if Iran manages to either hit one of the thousands of US assets in the region or worse they resort to terrorism with a theatrical attack like 9/11 which ended up costing so many lives , money and freedoms ranging from TSA literally up your ass to the destruction of privacy online and offline…..and of course as we all know boots on the ground

shakna 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What do the three points of the navy trident represent?

TheAlchemist 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The big difference with previous campaign is that now, the Iranian regime is facing existential threat. While the previous war was more a of a show for respective domestic publics, this one feels like there is no coming back.

Of course Russia or China won't go to war for Iran - nobody is saying that. They can get involved though, just as Europe is involved in Ukraine war.

viking123 3 hours ago | parent [-]

They will provide intel and weapons like NATO in Ukraine.

pseingatl 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Bombing never wins wars, with one exception.

bombing of: -N.Vietnam -Germany -Serbia -Sudan -Tunisia -England

Exception:

-Japan

That is not to say bombing doesn't have its uses in war. The bombing of the oilfields of Ploesti in Romania severely damaged the German war machine. But it took Russian boots on the ground in Berlin to effect a German surrender.

bojan 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Being Serbian, the bombing campaign of 1999. was successful. It lead to the (temporary, 12-years long) regime change, and to the de-facto independence of Kosovo. It ended the war.

RobotToaster 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Chinese state media is already reporting it's "unlikely to be contained" https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202602/28/WS69a2a669a310d686...

concinds 3 hours ago | parent [-]

A regional war isn't a world war

TheAlchemist 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

While it's possible, it's unlikely. Iranian regime is in a corner - they have no choice anymore but to escalate, and escalate quickly.

suddenlybananas 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

There might be boots on the ground eventually given Trump's speech.

>The lives of courageous American heroes may be lost and we may have casualties. That often happens in war, but we’re doing this not for now. We’re doing this for the future, and it is a noble mission

Very foreboding.

shusaku 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Iran is hitting back at US bases so it could be related to those risks, rather than a full invasion.

(Crazy idea, maybe the people shouldn’t be left in the dark about their government’s war plans by having a deliberate legislative body debate and vote on it)

concinds 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It's a sinister statement, but despite everything the U.S. has moved to the region, they didn't move the stuff they would need to move for ground operations.

RiverStone 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Venezuela didn’t take many boots. Maybe we can decapitate the Iranian regime in the same way.