All this is for nought.

The power lies with the US Govt.

And its corrupt, immoral and unethical, run by power hungry assholes who are not being held accountable, headed by the asshole who does a million illegal things every day.

Ultimately, Anthropic will fold.

All this is to show to their investors that they tried everything they could.

It is not clear to me that the power here lies with the US Govt.

Imagine Anthropic is declared a "supply chain risk" thus cannot be used by all sorts of big industry players. How will the CEOs of those companies feel about the govnt telling them they cannot use what their engineers say is the best model? How many of those CEOs have a direct line to powermakers?

How many of those CEOs are already making the phone calls? The "supply chain" threat is a threat to every US company that currenly uses Anthropic.

Oh, and that includes Palentir, who is deeply embedding in the govt.

Side example: remember the 6 congresspeople who made the video about military orders? They won.

Anthropic probably can’t fold, they might lose an existential number of researchers if they did. This is literally an unstoppable force meets an immovable object situation.

Hegseth probably folds. It would be too unpopular for him to take either of the actions he threatened.