You can’t really because these powerful models are censored. You can create lewd pictures with open models but they aren’t nearly as good or easy to use.

Because models can be used to alter existing images, you can use open and commercial models together in content creation workflows (and also the available findings of open models, and the ability to further tube them very specific used, are quite powerful on their own), so the censorship on the commercial models has a lot less effect on what motivated people can produce than you might think.

I still think, even with that, that like most predictions of AI taking over any content industries, the short-term predictions are overblown.

I’ve seen some very high quality NSFW AI video in the last few months. Those models are not far behind and the search and training space for porn is smaller than being able to generate anything

Doesn't Grok allow users to create lewd content or did they roll that back?

Also, I suspect that we'll soon see the same pattern of open weights models following several months behind frontier in every modality not just text.

It's just too easy for other labs to produce synthetic training data from the frontier models and then mimic their behavior. They'll never be as good, but they will certainly be good enough.

Just a matter of time and open models will get there. Not once have we seen a moat across the model spectrums.