Let's see.

A) Programmers will get their shit together and start shipping lean software.

OR

B) New laptops will become neutered thin clients, and all the heavy lifting will be done by cloud service providers.

Which one seems more likely?

B sounds more likely because LLMs are already in the cloud and agents are thin clients

B. But those neutered thin clients do not have enough ram to run software anyway even if all the real computation is in the cloud.