| > This. Companies like Nvidia, Google et-al and investors, don't care about and won't leave the US over morals, they'll go and stay where the money is good as long as it lasts. Trying to lecture them about morals from the EU won't change this. Otherwise they wouldn't be using slave labor in Congo and sweatshop labor in China. Nobody will leave over morals (well except possibly the Norweigan sovereign wealth fund), but it's worth noting that for non-dollar investors, the US markets have basically been flat since the start of 2025, because the dollar has declined. It's entirely possible that the US no longer takes in more global capital, if this continues. It's very unlikely that all the foreign investors will leave quicker, but it's much more likely that they'll leave as they sell their investments over time. |
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| ▲ | microtonal 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Large European pension funds are rapidly decreasing (as rapid as a pension fund can without causing too much panic, devaluing remaining assets). E.g. some large pension funds have removed 1/4th of their investments in the US in less than a year. That is pretty unheard of. (Most of them are reinvesting in Europe.) | | |
| ▲ | joe_mamba 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | >some large pension funds have removed 1/4th of their investments in the US in less than a year. I saw the news about the danish fund dropping some of their US investment and on closer inspection, in absolute terms it was a drop in the bucket. Mostly an optics maneuvre. | | |
| ▲ | disgruntledphd2 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Again, non dollar investors are flat since start of 2025. This isn't just politicisation (although that's part of it), it's that other markets are doing better than the US for now. This will be a slow process, but the direction seems pretty clear (I fully expect to see a major economy introduce capital controls within the next twenty years). | | |
| ▲ | joe_mamba 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | > it's that other markets are doing better than the US for now. Which? US currently has a rocky status due to Trump's interference, but Trump will pass while the likes of EU and Japan won't be able to fix their structural issues of low birthrates, crazy high debt welfare speeding, etc. | | |
| ▲ | disgruntledphd2 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Which? US currently has a rocky status due to Trump's interference In non-dollar terms, the US markets have been flat since 2025 (so basically since "liberation day"). > fix their structural issues of low birthrates, This is a problem basically everywhere. It's definitely worse in Europe than in the US, but the US is on the same trajectory (modulo immigration). > crazy high debt welfare speeding Where exactly are you talking about? The US government has been spending more than it takes in for the past decade at least, mostly on entitlements (i.e. welfare spending). |
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| ▲ | microtonal 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | A single Dutch pension fund that was much larger (ABP, IIRC one or two orders of magnitude) retracted 1/4th (10 billion). But they only found out after journalists checked out a year report. Most pension funds just don't talk about it, because (1) they do not want the value of their assets drop too much as long as they haven't moved them; and (2) they do not want to draw the ire of the Trump administration in the meanwhile. | | |
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| ▲ | disgruntledphd2 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > the economies of France and Germany being propped up on life support by government spending The US government is running (and has been for at least a decade now) a substantial deficit, which is basically propping up the economy with government support. > there's more political turmoil at the horizon Again, look to your own house. Even if you ignore all the Trump noise, the attempted politicisation of the Fed is very dangerous for the US economy. > Asia? Asia & Europe. It's beyond absurd that the US stock markets have 65% of total value, and was never going to last forever. All this craziness from the government is just speeding up something that was always going to happen. | | |
| ▲ | joe_mamba 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | >Even if you ignore all the Trump noise, the attempted politicisation of the Fed is very dangerous for the US economy. Yes, but Trump is a passing issue that will eventually go away, and won't be able to fuck with tarries and the economy anymore just so his friends can do insider trading. >Asia & Europe. why do you think so? Japan's economy has no great future prospects, and neither EU's with many German bankruptcies and companies relocating abroad. Chinese companies and workers outside of the largest metro areas have bad time too. |
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