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ej88 13 hours ago

We're already seeing eye-watering, blistering growth from the new hot applied AI startups and labs

Imo the wave of top down 'AI mandates' from incumbent companies is a direct result of the competitive pressure, although it probably wont work as well as the execs think it will

that being said even Dario claims a 5-20% speedup from coding agents, 10x productivity only exists in microcosm prototypes, or if someone was so unskilled oneshotting a localhost web app is a 10x for them

bwestergard 13 hours ago | parent | next [-]

"eye-watering, blistering growth from the new hot applied AI startups and labs"

Could you give us a few examples?

simonw 13 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Claude Cowork was apparently built in less than two weeks using Claude Code, and appears to be getting significant usage already.

sjaiisba 12 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Only a personal anecdote, but the humans I know that have used it are all aware of how buggy it is. It feels like it was made in 2 weeks.

Which gets back to the outsourcing argument: it’s always been cheap to make buggy code. If we were able to solve this, outsourcing would have been ubiquitous. Maybe LLMs change the calculus here too?

bwestergard 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

That's certainly a good example of a tool developed quickly thanks to AI assistance.

But coding assistance tools must themselves be evaluated by what they produce. We won't see significant economic growth through using AI tools to build other AI tools recursively unless the there are companies using these tools to make enough money to justify the whole stack.

I believe there are teams out there producing software that people are willing to pay for faster than they did before. But if we were on the verge of rapid economic growth, I would expect HN commenters to be able to rattle these off by the dozen.

ej88 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

claude code 1B+ arr

ant 10xing ARR, oai

harvey legora sierra decagon 11labs glean(ish) base10(infra) modal(infra) gamma mercor(ish) parloa cognition

regulated industries giving these companies 7/8-fig contracts less than 2 years from incorporation

sjaiisba 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

AI has been a lifesaver for my low performing coworkers. They’re still heavily reliant on reviews, but their output is up. One of the lowest output guys I ever worked with is a massive LinkedIn LLM promoter.

Not sure how long it’ll last though. With the time I spend on reviews I could have done it myself, so if they don’t start learning…

HWR_14 3 hours ago | parent [-]

> With the time I spend on reviews I could have done it myself, so if they don’t start learning…

Then? Your job is still to review their code. If they are your coworker, you can not fire them.

whoisthemachine 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Then just start rubber-stamping their code. Say you "vibe" read it.