Remix clone Hacker News

new | show | ask | jobs Github

▲

genidoi a day ago

Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.

▲

kylecazar a day ago | parent [-]

Shouldn't it be if you suspect they are executed by an insider?

▲

genidoi 21 hours ago | parent [-]

You can't be sure that they are an insider or lucky, just from onchain data.

▲

bergen 15 hours ago | parent [-]

If they make single market predictions with high accuracy it is very very likely they are

▲

genidoi 12 hours ago | parent [-]

No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. They would make unlinkable bets on fresh accounts.

	▲	BoxFour 10 hours ago \| parent \| next [-]
		> No vigilant insider is making a series of "single market predictions with high accuracy" on the same account. There seem to be quite a few non-vigilant insiders. That's the very premise of the post we're discussing. This is unsurprising to anyone who's seen the various ways people get busted for insider trading in equities.
	▲	meetingthrower 2 hours ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		Also insider trading is A-OK on prediction markets!