Because taking high variance slightly negative EV shots is not a terrible strategy when you have a long time horizon.

tyre a day ago | parent | next [-]

this is the "lose money on every sale but make it up on scale" version for gamblers and I love that for you.

	▲	doomslayer999 2 hours ago \| parent [-]
		Definitely not. It’s more like either winning a 1B B2B contract or going bankrupt. Like I said above you don’t want to scale up taking high variance shots because it will reduce variance and converge towards the mean

c22 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I feel like the longer your time horizon the worse -ev games are for you?

I bought one lottery ticket, I don't think my odds are gonna get any better than that.

	▲	doomslayer999 2 hours ago \| parent [-]
		To be clear, I meant the opposite. I meant that if you take a high variance swing and you lose, you have capped downside, so you can rebuild and recover hard long term. Conversely if you win you have a huge head start and can deploy the capital quickly. Of course you DONT want to repeatedly take -EV bets. That would reduce variance and converge you to the mean which is negative by the central limit theorem.

conformist a day ago | parent | prev [-]

By “not terrible” you mean “bad but not very bad” and not “good” right?

	▲	kibwen a day ago \| parent [-]
		"High variance, slightly-negative EV shots on a long time horizon" is a gambling addict's way of justifying the old adage, "sure, we're losing money on each sale, but we'll make up for it in volume!"