i am somewhat worried in the short term about ai job displacement for a subsection of the population

for me the 2 main factors are:

1. whether your company's priority is growing or saving

- growing companies especially in steep competition fight for talent and ai productivity results in more hiring to outcompete

- saving companies are happy to cut jobs to save on margin due to their monopoly or pressure from investors

2. how 'sequence of tasks-like' your job is

- SOTA models can easily automate long running sequences of tasks with minimal oversight

- the more your job resembles this the more in-danger you are (customer service diffusion is just starting, but i predict this will be one of the first to be heavily disrupted)

- i'm less worried about jobs where your job is a 'role' that comes with accountability and requires you to think big picture on what tasks to do in the first place