Things have progressed much faster than even the most optimistic predictions, so every "wait 6 months" has come true. Just look at how the discourse has changed on HN. No-one is using the arguments from 6 months ago and any argument today will probably be equally moot in 6 months.

Maybe we should look at output like quality of software being produced instead of discourse on forums where AI companies are spending billions to market?

Where is all this new software and increased software quality from all this progression?