| ▲ | Banditoz 4 hours ago | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This is what I don't really understand. It's a bit difficult to take "wait x months" at face value because I've been hearing it for so long. Wait x months for what? Why hasn't it happened yet? Things seem to be getting better from December 2022 (chatgpt launch), sure, but is there a ceiling we don't see? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | wlindley 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
"Self-driving cars" and Fusion power also come to mind. With the advent of photography, it was widely believed that drawing and painting would vanish as art forms. Radio would obsolete newspapers, becoming obsolete themselves with television, and so on. Don't believe the hype. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▲ | Levitating 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▲ | XenophileJKO 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Um.. Claude Code has been out less than a YEAR.. and the lift in capability in the last year has been dramatic. It does seem probable based on progress that in 1-2 more model generations there will be little need to hand code in almost any domain. Personally I already don't hand code AT ALL, but there are certainly domains/languages that are under performing right now. Right now with the changes this week (Opus 4.6 and "teams mode") it already is another step function up in capability. Teams mode is probably only good for greenfield or "green module" development but I'm watching a team of 5 AI's collaborating and building out an application module by module. This is net new capability for the tool THIS WEEK (Yes I am aware of earlier examples). I don't understand how people can look at this and then be dismissive of future progress, but human psychology is a rich and non-logical landscape. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||