How many people are actually capable of producing any level of critical thinking that would give them an advantage?

But let’s say you are in fact very smart and you know the market is hanging by a thread.

So you invest according to what you know…. But those sheep don’t do the same and the market continues to go up in spite of what you know….

Does that analysis matter now?

> How many people are actually capable of producing any level of critical thinking that would give them an advantage?

You're right on the money there, the thing is _nobody_ can beat the market, you can only get lucky or have insider knowledge. A strategy that always works is "Buy and hold" and especially diversify when things are volatile. Instead we see volumnes of cash moving in waves at any news or rumor.