Except for Moore's law, everyone knew decades ahead of what the limits of Dennard scaling are (shrinking geometry through smaller optical feature sizes), and roughly when we would get to the limit.

Since then, all improvements came at a tradeoff, and there was a definite flattening of progress.

> Since then, all improvements came at a tradeoff, and there was a definite flattening of progress.

Idk, that sounds remarkably similar to these AI models to me.