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oyashirochama 2 hours ago

China is the best example, its estimated that their population is off by entire countries in some statisitics, either through disppeared girls, hidden covid deaths, local economic fraud. There is also no independently verifiable group in China and is actually explicitly banned to use non-government methods.

dragonwriter an hour ago | parent | next [-]

> China is the best example, its estimated that their population is off by entire countries in some statisitics

“entire countries” of population spans a range from single-digit hundreds to over a billion, so this could describe anything from an imperceptible error to an enormous one in China’s case.

thijson an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

I wonder if the population numbers could be reverse engineered through things like light pollution seen by satellites, or food consumption.

Some people claim that China's population is half of what the officials claim.

jerf an hour ago | parent [-]

Yes, it absolutely can.

I'm sure the various high-end intelligence agencies have a much better view on this than the public does. All kinds of ways of cross-checking the numbers, all by doing things they'll be doing in their normal course of events.

A normal person could probably do a decent job with an AI that isn't too biased in the direction of "trust gov numbers above all else" and tracking down and correlating some statistics too obscure and too difficult to fake. (Example: Using statistical population sampling methodology on some popular internet service or something.) The main problem there being literally no matter what they do and how careful they are, they'd never be able to convince anyone of their numbers.