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Shocka1 7 hours ago

IMO, this is one of the better takes in this thread. I'm a big fan of Hazlitt's book Economics in One Lesson, which gives a very condensed version of some economic ideas - one of them being automation, with really good examples in the past of labor saving machines like the printing press being created. When I first read it a decade ago I didn't think my profession might be like the printing press, but it's definitely in the crosshairs now.

If I lost my software engineering job tomorrow and was unable to find work within a few months, I have a repurposing plan ready to go. Yes it would be terrible for me economically and I'm sure there would be some sad days, but sometimes bad things happen and we have to make the best of them and move on.

WalterBright 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The printing press also led to books changing from being something only rich people had to everyone having books. This also enabled the industrial revolution, as books made literacy worth having, newspapers, and became a great storehouse of knowledge.

I.e. it created far, far more jobs than it destroyed.

1shooner 43 minutes ago | parent [-]

I have not heard even the most enthusiastic AI booster describe net job creation as a possible outcome. If you have any details on that prediction, I'd be interested to hear what they are.

WalterBright 4 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

Nobody remotely believed what the printing press invention would lead to.

After all, Gutenberg had only a modest goal of printing and selling indulgences. He didn't understand what the printing press was good for, either.

Pretty much all the jobs today did not exist before the printing press that enabled them.

lechatonnoir 18 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean... you can't think of any ways that AI could actually generate new value? Or more abstractly, of a way that Jevons' paradox can't apply in the case of AI?

BigHatLogan 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What is your repurposing plan, if you don't mind my asking? I am trying to think of alternatives too, but it's quite stressful.

nyantaro1 5 hours ago | parent [-]

same here

ytoawwhra92 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

All very well to have a plan, and I'm sure some people manage to successfully "repurpose" themselves, but historically the way this plays out is that redundant workers live out their days in relative poverty and it's their children/grandchildren who find new opportunities out of economic necessity. Usually takes 2-3 generations for the impact on workers to fully shake out.

theshackleford 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> If I lost my software engineering job tomorrow and was unable to find work within a few months, I have a repurposing plan ready to go.

Get back to me when you need to execute that plan with millions of others joining the bread line.