Remix.run Logo
crystal_revenge 10 hours ago

I'm never sure why people assume that Palantir is magically unlike the overwhelming majority of tech startups/companies I've worked at: vastly over promising what is possible to create hype and value while offering things engineering knows will never really quite work like they're advertised.

To your point, but on a larger scale, over hyping Palantir has the added benefit of providing a chilling effect on public resistance.

As a former government employee I had the same reaction to the Snowden leaks: sure the government might be collecting all of this (which I don't support), but I've never seen the government efficiently action on any data they have collected.

Incompetence might be the greatest safety we have against a true dystopia.

Eupolemos 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Because Snowden, agree with him or not, showed us that reality blew away our imagination.

It may feel normal now, but back then, serious people, professionals, told us that the claims just were not possible.

Until we learned that they were.

heavyset_go 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Until that moment, the general sentiment about the government and the internet is that they are too incompetent to do anything about it, companies like Microsoft/Apple/Google/Snapchat are actually secure so lax data/opsec is okay, etc.

Meanwhile, the whole time, communications and tech companies were working hand in hand with the government siphoning up any and all data they could to successfully implement their LifeLog[1] pipe dream.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DARPA_LifeLog

kcplate 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Until that moment, the general sentiment about the government and the internet is that they are too incompetent to do anything about it

In 2008 I worked with a retired NSA guy who had retired from the agency 5 years prior. He refused to have a cellphone. He refused to have a home ISP. Did not have cable tv, Just OTA. He would only use the internet as needed for the work we were doing and would not use it for anything else (news, etc). He eventually moved to the mountains to live off grid. He left the agency ten years before Snowden disclosed anything.

An example like that in my life and here I sit making comments on the internet.

bradlys 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Sounds like a guy who doesn’t enjoy the internet or cellphones. Shit, my grandparents never owned a computer, paid for internet, had cable tv, etc.

Are they suspicious of the government? No, just poor and uninterested.

somenameforme 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That was not the sentiment, at least not in my experience. There was a far more pervasive and effective argument - if somebody believed that the government is spying on you in everything and everywhere then they're simply crazy, a weirdo, a conspiracy theorist. Think about something like the X-Files and the portrayal of the Lone Gunmen [1] hacking group. Three borderline nutso, socially incompetent, and weird unemployed guys living together and driving around in a scooby-doo van. That was more in line with the typical sentiment.

People don't want to be seen as crazy or on the fringes so it creates a far greater chilling effect than claims that e.g. the government is too incompetent to do something which could lead to casual debate and discussion. Same thing with the event that is the namesake of that group. The argument quickly shifted from viability to simply trying to negatively frame anybody who might even discuss such things.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lone_Gunmen

jatora 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

dont worry lifelog was cancelled in 2004 according to that wiki. Phew!

anonym29 5 hours ago | parent [-]

The very same day Mark Zuckerberg's "The Facebook" launched. A total coincidence, with zero evidence that the two are related in any way whatsoever ;)

5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
jjtheblunt 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Snowden, agree with him or not, showed us that reality blew away our imagination.

pretty much everything Snowden released had been documented (with NSA / CIA approval) in the early 80s in James Bamford's book The Puzzle Palace.

the irony of snowden is that the audience ten years ago mostly had not read the book, so echo chambers of shock form about what was re-confirming decades old capabilities, being misused at the time however.

ocdtrekkie 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Considering the US military has historically had capabilities a decade ahead of what people publicly knew about, anyone who said it just wasn't possible probably wasn't a serious professional.

XorNot 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Which claims? HN around that time was taking anything and everything and declaring it conclusively proved everything else.

I honestly have no god damn clue what was actually revealed by the Snowden documents - people just say "they revealed things".

fao_ 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Why are you asking here, versus going to Google and reading the original article from The Guardian? Or the numerous Wikipedia links that are on this page?

bdangubic 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

that takes effort :)

XorNot 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Because saying "experts said things were impossible and then Snowden" could mean literally anything. Which experts, what things?

Like I said: I've read a ton of stuff, and apparently what people are sure they read is very different to what I read.

browningstreet 6 hours ago | parent [-]

You can read about PRISM, Upstream, FAIRVIEW, STORMBREW, NSA Section 215 (PATRIOT Act) in a lot of places. But essentially they collected all call records and tapped the Internet backbone and stored as much traffic as they could. It’s not all automatic but it’s overly streamlined given the promises of court orders. Which were rubber stamped.

XorNot 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Again: which experts were saying what was impossible, which was then revealed to be possible by the Snowden documents?

Is the claim that there was adequate court oversight of operations under those codenames which then turned out not to be the case? Are they referring to specific excesses of the agencies? Breaking certain cryptographic primitives presumed to be secure?

Why is absolutely no one who knows all about Snowden ever able to refer to the files with anything more then a bunch of titles, and when they deign to provide a link also refuses to explain what part of it they are reacting to or what they think it means - you know, normal human communication stuff?

(I mean I know why, it's because at the time HN wound itself up on "the NSA has definitely cracked TLS" and the source was an out of context slide about the ability to monitor decrypted traffic after TLS termination - maybe, because actually it was one extremely information sparse internal briefing slide. But boy were people super confident they knew exactly what it meant, in a way which extends to discussion and reference to every other part of the files in my experience).

matthewdgreen 5 hours ago | parent [-]

I mostly focused on the cryptographic parts of the files. Here's what I wrote after the first details of cryptographic attacks were released: https://blog.cryptographyengineering.com/2013/09/06/on-nsa/

What I learned in that revelation was that the NSA was deliberately tampering with the design of products and standards to make them more vulnerable to NOBUS decryption. This surprised everyone I knew at the time, because we (perhaps naively) thought this was out of bounds. Google "SIGINT Enabling" and "Bullrun".

But there were many other revelations demonstrating large scale surveillance. One we saw involved monitoring the Google infra by tapping inter-DC fiber connections after SSL was added. Google MUSCULAR, or "SSL added and removed here". We also saw projects to tap unencrypted messaging services and read every message sent. This was "surprising" because it was indiscriminate and large-scale. No doubt these projects (over a decade old) have accelerated in the meantime.

sgentle 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You know how it's considered a kind of low-effort disrespect to answer someone's question by pasting back a response from an LLM? I think equivalently if you ask a question where the best response is what you'd get from an LLM, then you're the one showing a disrespectful lack of effort. It's kind of the 2026 version of LMGTFY.

If you still want a copy-paste response to your question, just let me know – I'm happy to help!

blurbleblurble 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Incompetence could also be incredibly dangerous given enough destructive willpower.

https://www.thenation.com/article/world/nsa-palantir-israel-...

somenameforme 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I've often said we're recreating Brazil [1] instead of 1984. It's an excellent film if you haven't seen it btw, and in many ways rather more prophetic and insightful than 1984. But the ending emphasizes that incompetence just leads to a comedy of absurdity, but absurdity is no less dangerous.

As for PRISM, it's regularly used - but we engage in parallel construction since it's probably illegal and if anybody could prove legal standing to challenge it, it would be able to be legally dismantled. Basically information is collected using PRISM, and then we find some legal reason of obtaining a warrant or otherwise 'coincidentally' bumping into the targets, preventing its usage from being challenged, or even acknowledged, in court. There's a good writeup here. [2]

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aJCxVkllxZw

[2] - https://theintercept.com/2018/01/09/dark-side-fbi-dea-illega...

propaganja 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

They're not trying to use the data to act efficiently (or in the public good for that matter), and they sure as fuck don't want you to see it. They're trying to make sure that they have dirt on anyone who becomes their enemy in the future.

giancarlostoro 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I've never seen the government efficiently action on any data they have collected.

Someone else on HN said it would be nice if the NSA published statistics or something, data so aggregate you couldn't determine much from it, but still tells you "holy shit they prevented something crazy" levels of information, harder said than done without revealing too much.

rtpg 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The NSA tried to do this during the Snowden leaks!

There were stories like "look at how we stopped this thing using all this data we've been scooping up"... but often the details lead to somewhat underwhelming realities, to say the least.

It might be that this stuff is very useful, but only in very illegal ways.

lazide 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Secrecy enables several things, including:

- abuse

- incompetence

- getting away with breaking rules and laws

Sometimes, those are desirable or necessary for national security/pragmatic reasons.

For instance, good luck running an effective covert operation without being abusive to someone or breaking rules and laws somewhere!

Usually (80/20 rule) it’s just used to be shitty and make a mess, or be incompetent while pretending to be hot shit.

In a real war, these things usually get sorted out quickly because the results matter (existentially).

Less so when no one can figure out who the actual enemy is, or what we’re even fighting (if anything).

wil421 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

In addition to terrorist stuff, they are probably passing of bunch of stuff to the military or defense industry to do things like fine tune their radar to cutting edge military secrets.

giancarlostoro 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Would be nice if we had some form of statistics in a way that wouldnt endanger any of the intel that just tells the general public "we dont just sit here collecting PB of data daily"

dragonwriter 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Any statistics that didn't endanger the intel would also be unverifiable and easily falsified, and therefore not particularly trustworthy for the proposed purpose.

GPurePro 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You've never seen it because when it's efficient you won't see it.

asdfman123 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If they throw out things like due process and reasonable doubt they can do a whole lot with the data they've collected.

That may sound hyperbolic but I hope it's obvious to most people by now that it's not.

radicaldreamer 8 hours ago | parent [-]

They can do parallel construction or use "undercover" informants etc.

edoceo 7 hours ago | parent [-]

Fuzzy Dunlop (it's from The Wire). Their CI was a tennis ball (with an unauthorized camera inside).

roenxi 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> ... I've never seen the government efficiently action on any data they have collected.

It isn't usually a question of efficiency, it is a question of damage. Technically there is an argument that something like the holocaust was inefficiently executed, but still a good reason to actively prevent governments having ready-to-use data on hand about people's ethnic origin.

A lot of the same observations probably apply to the ICE situation too. One of the big problems with the mass-migration programs has always been that there is no reasonable way to undo that sort of thing because it is far too risky for the government to be primed to identify and deport large groups of people. For all the fire and thunder the Trump administration probably isn't going to accomplish very much, but at great cost.

AndrewKemendo 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>I've never seen the government efficiently action on any data they have collected.

As a former intelligence officer with combat time I promise you there are A LOT of actions happening based on that data.

GuinansEyebrows 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

doing Bad Things poorly is still doing Bad Things.

cyanydeez 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I see palntir as a techno whitewashing Mckinsey consultant. But the tech is there to make a much bigger problem than prior art, halucinations et al.

They are still dangerous even if theyre over promising because even placebos are dangerous when the displace real medical interventions.

newsclues 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Because palantirs selling proposition is: you can’t find the answers in your own data, but we can.

throwaway173738 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It sure would be convenient if they were always ineffective. Sadly there have been periods in history where governments have set themselves to brutality with incredible effectiveness.

peripitea 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Except you don't need to solve any remotely hard technical problems for the capabilities to be terrifying here.

heavyset_go 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No, incompetence is terrifying. No one wants to get caught in a machine driven by imbeciles who don't care about truth or honoring the Constitution.

Competence is also terrifying, but for different reasons.

tempsaasexample 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I honestly tempt fate for fun to see how good police surveillance tech is the last few years.

I let one of my cars expire the registration a few months Everytime, because I'm lazy and because I want to see if I get flagged by a popup system Everytime a police officer passes near me. My commute car is out of registration 3 months right now. And old cop friend told me they basically never tow unless it's 6 months. I pay the $50 late fee once a year and keep doing my experiment for the last 6-7 years. Still no real signs they care.

My fun car has out of state plates for 10 years now. Ive been pulled over once for speeding, and told the officer I just bought it. I've never registered it since I bought it from a friend a decade ago. They let me go. It makes me wonder if one day they'll say "sir, we have plate scanners of this vehicle driving around this state for a year straight.. pay a fine." Not yet.

heavyset_go 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Cops use those systems to make easy arrests for things like active warrants, stolen vehicles and they feed into systems that keep track of where licensed vehicles are and when.

In a way that's worse, because the systems aren't looking up your car or to target your vehicle for fines, but to look up and target you for arrest.

Same systems can be used to identify, track and arrest undesirables.

alter_synapse 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

[dead]

sixsevenrot 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

[flagged]

shrubble 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The algorithm was sorting punch cards and then putting the cards in different stacks on a table.

We can only hope that the surveillance state is still working with the same algorithm…

Bender 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

filoeleven 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The nazi transformation didn't happen over the course of half an hour. Or one election cycle, even. The history is rhyming pretty hard right now.

Bender 9 hours ago | parent [-]

Hitlers security group that transformed a small section of the SS into brutal killing machines happened rather fast and that is what people are talking about when they are digging up the Totenkopf wearing brown shirts. These never existed in the United States of America and never will. Not even the modern day skin-head neo-nazi's or the neo-nazi militias could be compared. They would have been extinguished by the SS nearly instantly for daring to wear the insignia.

rubyn00bie 9 hours ago | parent [-]

The brownshirts were actually the SA, a police force Hitler originally used for years to brutalize people before the formation of the SS. The SA are very similar to modern day ICE being made up of militant supporters (like proud boys, J6’ers pardoned) who are willing to commit violence without provocation or any fear of being prosecuted for their violence.

The SA was eventually hung out to dry, because Hitler feared Ernst Röhm had too much power (among other reasons)— by executing SA leadership during the Night of the Long Knives (die Nacht der langen Messer)…

To say the violence of the SS was quick to be extreme really forgets the ten plus year road they took to get there. I’d really suggest, as disheartening and sad as it is, to read about all this yourself. The parallels between Nazi Germany and the US right now are astonishing. It’s almost as if someone in the White House is using history as a playbook.

Which sort of goes full circle since Hitler took a lot from how brutal and racist the US towards slaves and non-whites.

gedy 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yeah if deportation is now Nazism, then the Allies after WW2 were Nazis too for the millions of mass displaced persons to match new borders.

OhMeadhbh 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

lol. came here to say pretty much the same thing.

forshaper 10 hours ago | parent [-]

I've generally held this position, but assume a sufficient combination of models could do a lot more than was possible before.