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drtgh 5 hours ago

I do not know if China could find a better window to take Taiwan,

Big tech manufacturers are treating consumers like crap by selling chips and memory to over-invested start-up companies that will go bankrupt, as these products will not be profitable due to the high costs (the technology that would make them profitable does not exist and has not even been conceived), in addition to the low long-term quality of what they offer.

The thing is, right now, billions of consumers around the world see how those big tech manufacturers are not serving them the pieces they need, and that such techs will not do in the near future with fair prices (prices abuse escalation, the consumers lost their strength).

Right now, if China takes Taiwan, 2026-2027, even if they lose the fabs, the billions of consumers in this planet will see this as a real f** you big techs, f** you overinvested startups hoarding, go go China, as we realize that we are third category citizens in this "first the riches" spiral, and will be no much difference of what is going on now.

If China takes his media news cards right, and makes know the consumers this is a revolution, and combine it with one of the numerous Taiwan's corruption scandals, I bet they will not find the opposition from citizens around the world that they would find in a different period of time.

corimaith 2 hours ago | parent [-]

By "consumers" you mean by people buying top tier gaming PCs (and either without one already or unwilling to wait). That's far less than billions if not even millions than more like thousands.

Besides, if you want to optimize for pure consumerism, you can just look at how roman slavery worked out for roman freemen in the late republic.

drtgh an hour ago | parent [-]

> By "consumers" you mean by people buying top tier gaming PCs (and either without one already or unwilling to wait).

Good try. We are talking about a window of X years were the average normal consumer, average people, will not be able to buy tech, and should not buy tech, due the prices will put average low-end technology at prices of extra mega top tier technology, anything with a CPU or disk or memory. The consumer will notice the abuse and will avoid to fall if possible (Even now, right now, the prices are excessive, people should avoid buying under the current terms, too late, it is better to wait).

This pause were the tech supply is not destined to the average consumer is the perfect window for China to take Taiwan if they plan the strategy well.

And it is not needed even to predict, Chinese government just need to follow/observe the prices and discomfort, and if the pattern follows, it is the moment. The average consumer even will aim them.