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readthenotes1 9 hours ago

It also tanked to ~$90 when Trump announced tariffs on all goods for Taiwan except semiconductors.

I don't know if that's non-rational, or if people can't be expected to read the second sentence of an announcement before panicking.

Loudergood 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The market is full of people trying to anticipate how other people are going to react and exploit that by getting there first. There's a layer aimed at forecasting what that layer is going to do as well.

It's guesswork all the way down.

Terr_ 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

A bunch of "Greater Fool" motivation too.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_fool_theory

recursive 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Personally, I try to predict how others are going to predict that yet others will react.

MrOrelliOReilly 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

And I just predict how you’ll predict

Nevermark 30 minutes ago | parent [-]

So we have a closed instability/volatility amplification loop. Great: Time for the straddle with finger-cross trade.

svnt 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You jerk

nealabq 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Third-derivative pun.

Riposte: I knew you'd say that! Snap!

gpderetta 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Keynesian beauty contest.

gertlex 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This was also on top of claims (Jan 2025) that Deepseek showed that "we don't actually need as much GPU, thus NVidia is less needed"; at least it was my impression this was one of the (now silly-seeming) reasons NVDA dropped then.

mschuster91 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> I don't know if that's non-rational, or if people can't be expected to read the second sentence of an announcement before panicking.

These days you have AI bots doing sentiment based training.

If you ask me... all these excesses are a clear sign for one thing, we need to drastically rein in the stonk markets. The markets should serve us, not the other way around.