There's approximately 0% chance that China will ship leading edge wafers from captured TSMC to the West.

wordpad 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Not true, it might be something they compromise on to restore relations

	▲	IsTom 10 hours ago \| parent [-]
		That's possible only if fabs are operational after the invasion.

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eagerpace 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This is the beauty of Polymarket. Then bet on it. There are so many more outcomes possible to this conflict than what you see reported in the media. Don't be so reductive.

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rbtprograms 11 hours ago | parent [-]

[flagged]

	▲	u8080 9 hours ago \| parent \| next [-]
		Short the stocks then, lol. When people do this kind of predictions, they often driven by emotional reaction. Best thing to switch actual evaluation on certain hypothesis is to make actual risks cost something.
	▲	eagerpace 10 hours ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		Im not recommending it, but the subject here (shorting the most valuable company on earth) is pretty degen to begin with.