I wonder how much of the activity on prediction markets these days is competing LLM scripts? I would guess the overlap in prediction market punters and AI boomers is high.

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lowbatt a day ago | parent [-]

It'd be a good way to lose money at the moment. Probably not too far off in the future it would make sense though

	▲	mormegil a day ago \| parent \| next [-]
		LLM-superforecaster parity projected to late 2026 (and LLMs now outperform non-expert public participants) according to https://forecastingresearch.substack.com/p/ai-llm-forecastin...
	▲	MarkusQ a day ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		Would you like to bet on that? :)