What topic are you referring to? ChatGPT release was just over 3 years ago. 5 years ago we had basic non-instruct GPT-3.

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fc417fc802 16 hours ago | parent [-]

Wasn't transformer 2017? There's been constant AI hype since at least that far back and it's only gotten worse.

If I release a claim once a month that armageddon will happen next month, and then after 20 years it finally does, are all of my past claims vindicated? Or was I spewing nonsense the entire time? What if my claim was the next big pandemic? The next 9.0 earthquake?

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danielbln 16 hours ago | parent [-]

Transformers was 2017 and it had some implications on translation (which were in no way overstated), but it took GPT-2 and 3 to kick it off in earnest and the real hype machine started with ChatGPT.

What you are doing however is dismissing the outrageous progress on NLP and by extension code generation of the last few years just because people over hype it.

People over hyped the Internet in the early 2000s, yet here we are.

	▲	fc417fc802 16 hours ago \| parent [-]
		Well I've been seeing an objectionable amount of what I consider to be hype since at least transformers. I never dismissed the actual verifiable progress that has occurred. I objected specifically to the hype. Are you sure you're arguing with what I actually said as opposed to some position that you've imagined that I hold? > People over hyped the Internet in the early 2000s, yet here we are. And? Did you not read the comment you are replying to? If I make wild predictions and they eventually pan out does that vindicate me? Or was I just spewing nonsense and things happened to work out? "LLMs will replace developers any day now" is such a claim. If it happens a month from now then you can say you were correct. If it doesn't then it was just hype and everyone forgets about it. Rinse and repeat once every few months and you have the current situation.