I agree the latest Gen of models, Opus 4.5 and Gemini 3 are more capable. 5.2 is OpenAI squeezing as much as they can out of 4 because they haven't had a successful pre training run since Ilya left

I disagree that they are really really capable engineers et al. They have moments where they shine like one. They also have moments where they perform worse than a new grad/hire. This is not what a really really capable engineer looks like. I don't see this fundamental changing, even with all the improvements we are seeing. It's lower level and more core than something adding more layers on top can resolve, that a only addresses best it can