| ▲ | 3eb7988a1663 4 hours ago |
| Nearly every day, I wonder what the top Republican leaders honestly think about these foreseeable outcomes. They made a deal with the devil -power at any cost. It is going to be a rough ride as America re-calibrates to a world which no longer relies on it. We took enormous amounts of benefits for granted. |
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| ▲ | CodingJeebus 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| > Nearly every day, I wonder what the top Republican leaders honestly think about these foreseeable outcomes. Simple. They see opportunities to blame the opposition for the failure of their economic policy. They've been doing it for decades with great success. |
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| ▲ | oaiey 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | That will not be that easy this time. Too direct is the elemination of any international collaboration a result of the Trump / Project 2025 leadership. | | |
| ▲ | CodingJeebus 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | They've literally been doing it for over 50 years at this point while winning races, respectfully I think you overestimate the intelligence of the average voter. There's a significant percentage of voters who will believe, no matter what, that what's going on right now is the fault of the Democrats. Hell, Federal agents are killing people in the streets on camera and a significant percentage of the population is OK with it. | | |
| ▲ | flyinglizard 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | No, they haven't. There's a complete shift in US foreign policy and things are happening which are unprecedented. There's no continuation of anything of the past 50 years, Republican or Democrat. | | |
| ▲ | CodingJeebus 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Wrecking the economy and blaming the Democrats are exactly what the GOP has done the last 50 years. I'm not saying that their current foreign policy has precedence, but their plan to deal with whatever fallout is coming is going to be to blame the dems, because that's what they've always done. |
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| ▲ | nullocator 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | There will be voters who are children now or not even born yet that will be suffering the consequences of Trumps actions and policies 20 years from now, and he will be long dead and too far removed for them to blame anyone but whoever is charge at that moment* Just like there are young voters today who blame consequences of Reagan and Bush on current leaders. Just like literally every cycle for the last 30 years Republicans fuck an insane amount of shit up and try to break the economy and then dems have to work doubly hard to do a shit repair job while being fought tooth and nail and then they get blamed for the lack of progress. * Assuming we still have elections |
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| ▲ | layer8 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The Greenland topic has the potential to disrupt the relations with Europe (and the NATO, by association) even more than the Ukraine/Russia one. Today he announced new 10% tariffs, to be increased to 25% in June if Greenland isn’t sold to the US. |
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| ▲ | Animats 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | We find out on Tuesday if the Supreme Court will enforce those tariffs. |
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| ▲ | wrs 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Are there any top Republican leaders left? In what way are they leading? |
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| ▲ | tzs 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | No. You can see this on what happened to a recent bill for a drinking water project in Colorado. It was so uncontroversial that it passed the House by unanimous consent. That doesn't mean 100% were for it, but it means any who were not didn't think it was worth making even a token effort to stop it. In the Senate they passed it on a voice vote, which is what they use for routine and completely non-controversial bills. They are all asked to say yea or nay, and the presiding officer calls it for whichever they think they heard the most of and if no one objects that they misheard it passes. Trump vetoed it. The official reason given was some bullshit about costs, but no one believes that. The leading theories are that it is because it is important to Lauren Boebert's district and because Colorado won't release Tina Peters from prison. Boebert upset Trump by being one of the Republican House votes to force the release of the Epstein files. Tina Peters was an election official who did various illegal and shady things [1] that Trump approves of. The House failed to override the veto. They are so afraid of angering Trump that they couldn't get 1/3 of Republican House members to to go against Trump on something that they themselves had just recently found completely uncontroversial. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tina_Peters_(politician) | |
| ▲ | Animats 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | There was a "Never Trump" movement of Republican leaders. It's dead.[1]
By now, most of the Never Trumpers are either out of power or have groveled to Trump.
The National Review, a conservative publication, wrote: "At no point did Never Trump possess the basic traits of a political movement: a small number of leaders and large number of followers." It was all leaders, or former leaders, or people who thought they should be leaders. The article says Never Trump was composed of "1) experts in foreign policy, economics, and law ... 2) campaign professionals ... and 3) public intellectuals ..." Not Republican governors and members of Congress.
Not big donors. Those people only matter when they're in power. There are small conservative journals in which they still write. Few read them. They're not on Fox News. It's not at all clear what the GOP looks like after Trump. The most likely Republican successors are said to be Vance, Rubio, and DeSantis. The last two have failed badly at presidential bids before. [1] https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/the-end-of-never-trump... | |
| ▲ | giarc 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I wonder how many will simply become "Trump Republicans" and follow some other leader when he's gone? Or will some simply pretend to wake up and have realized they had Trump Derangement Syndrome the whole time and are ready to come back to reality? | | |
| ▲ | yummypaint 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | These people aren't temporarily insane, they have always been this way. The same hatred and stupidity have been prevalent in US dinnertable discussions for decades, but much less in the actual halls of power because we used to have more collective sense to not grant people like that authority over others in general. If the rest of American society regains its agency, the toxic %25 will just go back to corroding the country as they were before. They are secure in knowing they will not be treated in the way they would treat others if given the opportunity. | |
| ▲ | Yoric 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | At least the second hypothesis relies on the assumption that there will be a return to some kind of normalcy. Watching this from the other side of the ocean, I'm not convinced that it's the most likely outcome. | |
| ▲ | nullocator 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | My guess is politics are so divisive and social media so effective that until something significant breaks/Trump succeeds in complete Putin-esque capture of the government that we will see the president flip parties every 4 years indefinitely. People will continue to vote for whoever the current leader of their "team" is no matter their actual politics or values or even how they were chosen as leader for that matter because the perceived cost of the other side winning is always greater. As soon as Trump dies there will be an increasing avalanche of "always never-trumpers", until 40 years from now it will be almost impossible to find anyone who admits to having voted for him. I already have anecdotal experiences of having conversations with people (on tape) in early 2017 celebrating/defending their vote of Trump who now claim to have never voted for him and say that anything on video was just a joke or sarcasm. |
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| ▲ | pupppet 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Funny how those throwing fuel on the fire are the same ones building bunkers. |
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| ▲ | jbm 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | My Chinese friends refer to Trump as the "Builder of the Nation" (the nation being China) I wonder how wide spread drug abuse is among the moneyed elite and how paranoia and other related factors are affecting their decisions |
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| ▲ | foogazi 20 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| They know they will die rich and soon |
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| ▲ | rediguanayum 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Agreed completely. Part of this deal is that the Canadian auto market is no longer protected against Chinese EVs which substantially undercut the legacies. There is also news that the Europeans are making about to make a similar deal with China. Imagine what the United States economy will be like if Stellantis, Ford, or GM or all of them go bankrupt. 3-4 million in lost jobs alone. Trump wants to tariff countries that support Denmark and Greenland. That's like all of the other NATO countries. What happens if NATO doesn't exist? No more bases to support Middle East operations and no more intelligence sharing. It will mean more support from the Canadians and Europeans for moving trade to be denominated by Renminbi. I don't think the Republican leadership has thought through the implications to the US with their deal with the devil. |
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| ▲ | arjie 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | This is a negative-sum choice being made by everyone but China. Chinese cars will decimate the European motor industry. Volvo is already gone. BMW, Porsche, Volkswagen will follow. This will hurt Europe a lot more than it will hurt America. The pressures of a democratic society will force Western governments to extract money from their productive sectors and redirect them to their comparatively unproductive auto sectors. Watching an increasingly aging Europe try to sustain its expensive welfare state while losing its biggest industries and facing a war citizens don't have the heart to prosecute is going to be interesting. Already French retirees make more than the average working man there. They won't fight. They won't work. They won't provide children. To retirees, replacing local industry with Chinese manufacturing is a no-brainer: everything gets cheaper. With the resulting loss of well-paying jobs, healthcare for the elderly and wait staff will get even cheaper. A bonanza for a generation soon to disappear leaving the bits to be picked up by their most ardent fans. | | |
| ▲ | mlyle 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Everyone is going to be hurt, but if you're not the US you need to hedge. Being firmly aligned with the US is too dangerous right now. Lots of negative costs and outcomes come with that hedging. Not really sure who it's going to hurt most. | | |
| ▲ | lumost 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | China is the only vertically integrated economy left. In a multipolar/bifurcated/low trade world they will be the strongest. The NAFTA/EU trade blocks were extraordinarily strong, this Greenland business is exactly the kind of issue which can shatter the entire block. It benefits no one to give Greenland to the US, so they won’t do it without a fight. It provides no benefit to the US to take it. The only thing that would really be settled by the US annexing another country on a presidents whim is the formal end of the U.S. separation of powers. |
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| ▲ | coredev_ 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I don't see EU making a deal with China that lets them sell their slave built cars without tariffs. As I feel it there are a lot of public opinion against buying Chinese cars atm. Some did like 5 years ago but not any more. They are almost as dead as Tesla. German car makes do have issues, but I'm sure they will work it out. Source: https://motorbranschen.mrf.se/undret-som-kom-av-sig/ (Swedish) | |
| ▲ | niceguy1827 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I don't think you understand the bigger issue. Locking out competitors will save these jobs for now, but it will not last forever. This is exactly what happened to the US automakers in the 80s and look at them now. | | | |
| ▲ | Yoric 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > This will hurt Europe a lot more than it will hurt America. It will hurt Europe a lot. But Donald Trump keeps repeating that it is going to declare war on the EU. Sadly, it makes sense for the EU to align more closely with China. And yeah, the only winners from the Trump administration so far are the mega-rich, Russia and China. At the expense of strictly everybody else. |
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| ▲ | blibble 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > What happens if NATO doesn't exist? No more bases to support Middle East operations and no more intelligence sharing. if it uses its base in Greenland to annex it, the US military will be promptly evicted from every base in the world at which point it returns to being a regional power | |
| ▲ | voidmain0001 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Cheaper foreign vehicles will also hurt the automotive industry in Ontario, Canada. So, this is an interesting move from the Canadian fed govt. https://www.investontario.ca/automotive | | |
| ▲ | dhampi 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Canada has no domestic automaker and US automakers, under pressure from Trump, are closing some factories in Canada & relocating production to the US. Yes, the Canadian auto industry will take a hit, but it already has from the US (and might take more). |
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| ▲ | trhway 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | >Imagine what the United States economy will be like if Stellantis, Ford, or GM or all of them go bankrupt. 3-4 million in lost jobs alone. They wouldn't go bankrupt. They will be saved and protected by government bailouts and tariffs, and the situation will become similar to say Russia car industry. Though, naturally, the situation with Russian cars has become so bad that even they are forced to massively open market to Chinese cars (and even "Russian cars" become more and more just simple rebadge of Chinese cars). In short - if you don't compete by increasing productivity, efficiency, quality, you will be overtaken by the ones who do. The government actions may prolong your complacency time, yet ultimately such prolongation is just the time you actually lose falling more and more behind. The whole world by now, 20 years after Tesla roadster, should have been driving American EVs, yet instead we have classic paradigm shift there US is Sun Microsystems and EVs/solar/wind/batteries is Linux/x86. |
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| ▲ | linkage 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > I wonder what the top Republican leaders honestly think about these foreseeable outcomes It doesn't matter what they think. Trump's message resonates with the electorate much more effectively than theirs, partly because of his political brand and partly because he has a network of social media acolytes who broadcast his messaging to each segment and demographic. It's a positive feedback loop wherein anyone who dares to go off-message or criticize his decisions gets instantaneous blowback from the MAGA audience themselves, so they quickly recalibrate. At this point, Trump has built a metaphorical tower of skulls of political foes within the party (e.g. Marjorie Taylor Greene). |
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| ▲ | sho_hn 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Despite everything that has happened over the past year, the Democrats only have a few percentage points lead over the Republicans in current midterm polling. As an outside observer: Absolutely wild. I know a lot about the reasons, but it still feels completely surreal. | | |
| ▲ | galangalalgol 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Trump is not unique. You can find similar parties and figures in most of Europe. Usually the would-be autocrat populist is even more popular than in the US in two party systems. Multi party systems dilute it which just leads to paralysis until eventually >40% of your population is ok with abandoning democracy because the impacts of paralysis are stacking up (France). | |
| ▲ | NicoJuicy 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | There's a vox video about it: the firehose of falsehoods It will explain a lot Ps. Yes, insane | |
| ▲ | giarc 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | And just wait until all the stimulus Trump is going to drop on Americans before the midterms to make everything look good and gain back some voters. | | |
| ▲ | seanmcdirmid 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | He can’t actually do much with votes in Congress he doesn’t have. Take money from programs via executive order? Ok, I guess. Cut checks to voters with that money? Even the Supreme Court would blush at that. | | |
| ▲ | Yoric 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | He doesn't have to follow through. Announcing a stimulus check might be sufficient. Do people still believe that the tariffs are somehow decreasing taxes? |
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| ▲ | CodingJeebus 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The democrats have been an absolute failure of a party for the last decade and the fact their voters refuse to hold leadership accountable for those failures says everything you need to know. There should have been a house-clearing of leadership up and down the party apparatus in 2016 and again in 2024 but nope. We'd rather hope those perpetual losers get their act together out of fear of the unknown. | | |
| ▲ | throwawayqqq11 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | The internal frictions around sanders and mamdani were at least some movement in a less corrupt direction. This is more than republicans can offer. |
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| ▲ | nitwit005 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | They don't share Trump's message, or not exactly. They share an edited version of it. That seems to be why Trump has started insisting he's serious repeatedly. The conservative media is ignoring or toning down the least popular ideas. | |
| ▲ | 3eb7988a1663 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It matters to me, because they were not powerless to stop this scenario. The point of a representative democracy. After January 6th, Mitch McConnell could have whipped up the votes to impeach Trump. Forever banishing him from office. Or over the past four years, when asked, "Did Donald Trump lose the election" instead of equivocating, every Congressperson could have said, "Of course he did. Donald Trump is a loser who lost a fair election, but threw a tantrum when the result did not go his way." Liz Cheney took a stand, and the party punished her for it. Trump was too popular, Republicans preferred to latch onto that energy, despite the consequences. No raindrop thinks it is responsible for the flood. These leaders enabled this scenario, because they (correctly!) predicted it could help them hold onto power. Now we watch the results unfold as the world does everything to extricate itself from the USA. |
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| ▲ | MattDaEskimo 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| They'll have cannibalized enough money for themselves to leave and retire |
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| ▲ | 827a 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think the game is a lot bigger than even Trump recognizes, but some individuals in his circle see it. The only other country that matters is China, and the timeline is decades. |
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| ▲ | shahbaby 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Does it impact you that much? |
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| ▲ | dh2022 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The high prices due to Donnie's policies absolutely impact me. I paid $5 for a piece of plastic that before used to cost $2. I paid $55 / fire alarm - this used to be under $30. I paid $55 for 2 dishes at a "cheap" Chinese take-out. At these prices I balked at buying some Chinese food for myself - I only bought these dishes for my son to eat. So yeah, it's bad. | |
| ▲ | bronson 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | A few weeks before the tariff idiocy, I paid $320 including shipping for an ebike battery from the EU. When it arrived, it included a bill for an additional $350 from US Customs. That's insane, I refused. When returning to sender, the package disappeared, presumably into Customs. I'm out $320 and still no battery. | | |
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| ▲ | dyauspitr 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| They are laser focused on making this a whiter nation with lesser rights for women and no ambiguous LGBTQ. From all the literature it seems like they believe that this demographic reversion will over the long term solve all their problems. They are not looking to optimize for anything else now including the loss of hegemony and influence. This is going to be completely and irreversibly devastating for the United States. |
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| ▲ | SecretDreams 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > Nearly every day, I wonder what the top Republican leaders honestly think about these foreseeable outcomes. Do you think anyone in charge has any long term vision capability to be thinking about such foreseeable outcomes? |
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| ▲ | oaiey 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I do not believe that. Project 2025 was a documented plan and is executed. Someone is profiting of that. So the outcomes are what was the plan. Question is: will it suck for the general population. Answer is yes | |
| ▲ | jszymborski 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | "Fuck you, I've got mine" I think is the only thought any US politician with a modicum of power is thinking at this moment. | | |
| ▲ | SecretDreams 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Agree mostly, but there's a couple outliers. I think this mentality is also shared across the isle, but the right just says the "fuck you" part wayyyy louder. |
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| ▲ | deadbabe 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Don’t know how to tell people this, but the world doesn’t really need America to be the country everyone relies on. We may be better off with diversity. Increase your international exposure. |
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| ▲ | dig1 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | True. But the US want to remain the country everyone relies on if it wants to preserve the dollar as the world's primary trade, reserve and settlement currency. Dollar dominance gives the US disproportionate leverage over global finance and allows it to shape the rules of the system. Absent this asymmetry, it is difficult to imagine US tariffs or financial pressure (or any kind of pressure) would carry comparable global impact. | |
| ▲ | 3eb7988a1663 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Totally - it is the best outcome for the world. As an American, it is sad to see the loss of status, power, everything that is coming our way in the near future. | | |
| ▲ | deadbabe an hour ago | parent [-] | | America's identity has always been founded on being the best, without that, it will be difficult to see what we're even about anymore. |
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| ▲ | mtzaldo 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | What are you talking about? The US navy protects the commercial shipment routes around the world. | | |
| ▲ | cjs_ac 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Before the US Navy did that, the Royal Navy did. The work needs to be done, but it doesn't have to be the US doing it. | |
| ▲ | nullocator 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Likely soon corporate owned drones will protect commercial shipping routes I would think. Not sure if bad actors (pirates?!) will have their own drones. | |
| ▲ | layer8 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I’m sure that China would be happy to take over. | |
| ▲ | bluebarbet 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The gratuitous hostility undermines your point. |
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| ▲ | xracy 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| >power at any cost. I mean, but they're not feeding into the US's power. So they're like, buying into a depreciating asset. This actively signals the US is losing power to China given that it's _formerly top ally_ is making trading partnerships with one of it's nominal "enemies". Anyone who can think more than a month out, can see this will result in the US losing power in the long run. |
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| ▲ | Insanity 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Thinking more than a week out is already a challenge for the current administration. A month would be a Herculean task. | |
| ▲ | ehsankia 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > So they're like, buying into a depreciating asset Part of the issue is that the average age of the House is ~55 and for the senate it's above 60. So they have a lot less incentive to care about that, or about climate change. | | |
| ▲ | lumost 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | I wonder how much this makes them resistant to understanding global change. Even in my own short lifetime, China went from a place of villages and cheap factories for low end products to the plausibly dominant center of technology and manufacturing. Those in congress may still imagine a world where China’s strength is no more than an illusion. |
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| ▲ | andrewflnr 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Personal power. Specifically winning elections at any cost, including the cost of more important forms of power. | |
| ▲ | fakedang 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Reminds me of Russia post-Soviet collapse when all of the SSRs rushed to form their own blocs or align with the West, while the Russians thought they would continue to align with their former overlords in Moscow. USA will definitely turn into the new Russia if it continues to go on this path. It has already exhausted most of its cultural and moral capital, and its tech sector is already under threat in its major allies. It will continue to stay relevant for maybe a generation or two but it will turn largely irrelevant by the turn of the century, just like the British Empire or Russia today. Assuming, of course, that it doesn't correct course. |
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| ▲ | twv1237213812 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
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| ▲ | celsoazevedo 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > To that end, the US provoked a war in Ukraine. I wonder why these alternative points of view always try very hard to deflect blame away from Russia when it comes to Russia's invasion of Ukraine (which Russia began in 2014). | | |
| ▲ | yte12325 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Maybe because Russia's guilt is obvious and does not need to be repeated? Victoria "Fuck the EU" Nuland was active in Ukraine before 2014 and precisely one of the reasons Russia took the bait. It was wrong to take the bait, in case that needs to be stated again. | | |
| ▲ | celsoazevedo 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Russia wasn't governed by a bunch of easily to bait and inexperienced morons. They saw an opportunity and went for it, no different from their involvement in Belarus or Georgia. And it worked. They took Crimea, started crap in the east, Ukraine's government was weak, etc. Before 2022, the US even sent the CIA director to Russia to warn them not to go ahead with the full scale invasion[0]. Multiple warnings were made[1]. If it was bait, then it was pretty bad bait or some pretty advanced "4D chess" moves. I'm not saying that there wasn't any US and EU meddling in Ukraine (alongside Russia's own meddling), but you don't just bait Russia like that. Regarding your comment, I'm sure you can understand why I raise my eyebrow when I see someone blaming a 3rd party for the war in Ukraine and nothing about the country who actually invaded Ukraine. Russia, not the US, is responsible for Russia's own actions. --- [0] https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/02/politics/cia-director-rus... [1] https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/02/24/russia-ukr... |
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| ▲ | bluebarbet 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Lots of unsourced speculation and indeed conspiracism here. It would be so nice if this forum could be a haven from those things. There's all but nowhere else to go. |
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