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cryptoegorophy 6 hours ago

Is there a real practical solution to this? It seems like all proposed solutions in last 40 years are a drop in the ocean, or just a money grab scams. Only thing that really worked for such global scale is the ozone layer repair. Global warming/climate change I guess we should just accept it and adapt?

tmnvix 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Drive less.

CO2 output per person in the US (all sources including industry, etc): ~13-14,000kg

Average distance driven per year per capita in the US: ~20,000km

Average CO2 output of current private vehicle fleet: ~250g/km

Therefore, over one third of total CO2 output per person is personal vehicle use. Considering only CO2 output due to personal choices driving has to be well over half.

Most people don't - or refuse - to consider the obvious choice to take personal responsibility. Drive less.

Mawr 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Driving isn't realistically a personal choice. Roadways designed for cars extend from every single point in the country to every other. The support for alternative methods of transportation varies greatly by area, but is generally poor.

Riding a bike or taking the bus is objectively the worse option for most people. That's not personal choice, that's policy.

Reversing course for a car-culture country like the US would take 50+ years. If it's even possible, which I personally don't think it is — the US is too far gone.

tmnvix an hour ago | parent [-]

To an extent I agree with you. Some places and lifestyles (e.g. means of earning a living) don't make cutting back on driving a viable choice.

However, these things can and do change (introduction of public transport and saner planning allowing local shops and the possibility for children get to and from school autonomously for example).

One problem as I see it is that many people that don't have a viable choice other than driving everywhere are politically opposed to structural change. Adopting this political point of view is also a personal choice.

fullstackchris 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

love how a completely valid point gets downvoted becuase the average person refuses to believe they are part of the problem "no! its those big corporations and airline industry! my daily commute has no input at all!"

and this is why we'll never solve the problem

bfrog 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I guess returning to the office isn't so great. Pointy hair bosses rage everywhere.

But beyond driving less, surely eating further down the foodchain helps as well. Plants and shellfish are efficient. Cows are not. Eat fewer burgers and a few more lentils and mussels. Unless you are RFK Jr then of course please eat lots and lots of fatty cow, tallow, butter. Go full on Atkins please and follow right behind him.

loloquwowndueo 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This also means two thirds of emissions are not due to vehicular emissions. Let’s tackle that first, more bang for the buck?

Also - does that per capita figure include cargo? If so, how much? Does it matter if random individual takes personal Responsibility and stops driving when all those long haul trucks will still be on the road?

tmnvix 4 hours ago | parent [-]

My point is that in terms of personal responsibility nothing comes remotely close to driving but a vanishingly small proportion of people are willing to consider this.

melling 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

A few decades ago we explained that personal responsibility isn’t the solution.

Please catch up. Why we’re having a conversation from the year 2000 now is beyond me.

I also suggest reviewing the “nuclear isn’t part of the solution. Besides it takes a decade” discussion.

tmnvix 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

How does cultural change happen?

I would say it's often because people see individual examples in action. Some people follow those examples. Then more do. You are more influential than you think.

mmooss 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> A few decades ago we explained that personal responsibility isn’t the solution.

I've never seen that argued persuasively. All the arguments I've seen are the usual hopelessness for democracy, lack of agency, and victimhood.

Lots of people acting in the same way is the foundation of democracy.

mmooss 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What I've read is that diet can do more, though of course it depends on what you currently eat and your current transportation.

philistine 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Flying is much higher than driving.

chickenimprint 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The real practical solutions are trivial, the politics are not. It's a collective action problem, where the US is one of the actors.

shrubby 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Yup.

Plenty of solutions, but politicians will never make it happen.

We calculated that capping personal emissions (mostly doable via peer pressure should we get this moving as normal people) to some top 1 percent 25 metric carbon ton and going plant based would get us net-zero while additionally getting rid of the zillionaire problem and adding extra 50-100 gigaton rewilding effect to the table.

With no bigger than marginal effect on anyone's QOL.

But we're SOL as the propaganda machines of the zillionaires keep dividing normal people to fake dichotomies.

chickenimprint 4 hours ago | parent [-]

No, there's really just a few select politicians standing in the way. Governments around the world have implemented tons of policies to attempt to address the crisis, but unless every country participates, it's economically suicidal. Carbon-intensive industries can simply move to the US, strengthening them, while those countries attempting to carry the burden of preventing climate change will be equally affected by looming disasters.

shrubby 2 hours ago | parent [-]

The same root cause everywhere . The zillionaires threatening to flee from the taxes. Annex Greenlands, Ukraines...

Taking children to pedo islands.

Once we'll wake up to the fact that almost every human becomes corrupt when treated with enough power we'll grok this.

And provide mental health services to the zillionaires and also they'll be happier.

Nobody wants the future we're getting.

johannes1234321 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, we got to adapt, we won't cool it down and "repair" what is broken.

However we can slow down the effects and try to stop the effects. So it's "only" 1.5° or whatever, not 3°, 5° or 10°. And if we raise average by 10° at least not by the years 2100, but 2200 to give time to adapt.

"Adapting" means resettling people, restructuring agriculture and food production, etc.

(All numbers are quite arbitrary picks, just as any goal one tried to set before)

hasley 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What about poor people that live in areas in the world that will become completely uninhabitable?

jl6 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Before areas become completely uninhabitable, we will see areas become increasingly stressed: heat waves, more extreme weather events, poorer crop yields, depleting aquifers.

Stress increases conflict risk. Fights for essential resources (land, water, food, shelter) will break out long before those essential resources are completely gone.

If we skip past the immense suffering and death part, we will probably end up on a planet where national borders have been redrawn by war and desperation, and a smaller population that lives in more northerly climes.

jandrese 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Our politicians are already thinking about them, which is why they are cracking down on immigration and generating relentless propaganda demonizing refugees and asylum seekers.

quesera 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Whose politicians are you referring to?

coryrc 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's going to happen, so that's exactly what we should be prepared for.

I'm sad all ocean megafauna are going to be extinct.

__MatrixMan__ 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Are you sure the whole world won't become completely uninhabitable? It's not like we have a trial earth to test this out on.

CGMthrowaway 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Perhaps they are part of the depopulation agenda.

5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
cogman10 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There are a lot of money scams out there to be sure.

It's unlikely that something like carbon capture will ever significantly reduce the CO2 in the atmosphere. It's just too energy intensive.

But there are a lot of practical solutions to significantly curb emissions that mostly just require regulations and taxes.

Things like building out rail transport. Heavily taxing air travel. Taxing all forms of carbon emission (fuel taxes would be pretty effective). Subsidizing non-co2 emissions, pushing for electrification when possible and power generation which uses non-CO2 emission. Stop wasteful pipedreams like "clean coal". Force data centers to be better citizens. For example, make them buy the battery/solar systems to offset their consumption. Make them participate in district heating schemes.

There's also some hope that even without intervention some of this will happen somewhat naturally. Solar and battery is already very cheap. Both are causing changes in the shipping and transit equations.

oezi 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The real solution is pricing the true cost of the externalities fairly and globally.

Everything which isn't sustainable must he taxed to the degree to offset the damage. We know well that economic incentives work best and that markets are efficient to achieve optimal solutions.

The core issue is just game theory to coordinate globally all players to prevent free riding.

themafia 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> is the ozone layer repair.

Which was, stop using CFCs, and stop venting them into the atmosphere to "dispose" of them. We also stopped lighting rivers on fire for mostly the same reasons, stop dumping industrial waste in them.

> I guess we should just accept it and adapt?

Ocean shipping produces more pollution than most countries. There are only like 5 countries that produce more carbon than the worldwide shipping fleet. If they cared then "cheap crap from China" wouldn't exist.

It's a scam. They want to monopolize the economy and they're using your environmental consciousness as the wedge to push you against your own best interests.

chickenimprint 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Ocean freight accounts for 2-3% of global emissions. It is orders of magnitude more efficient and clean than air or road freight per ton-kilometer. It's twice as efficient as rail. The ability to efficiently transport goods enables your current standard of living. A world economy without ocean freight would be minuscule and of course far more polluting, without even considering land use.

f_allwein 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Don’t live like a rich person in a developed country - they’re the only ones whose co2 footprints are too high.

parineum 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I heard about this[1] recently, essentially spurring a massive plankton bloom to capture carbon where it ends up on the sea floor and becomes future oil deposits in a few millenia.

The nice thing about it is that it doesn't require global cooperation.

[1]https://www.onepercentbrighter.com/p/the-no-bullshit-way-to-...

Edit: I should probably link where I heard about it to give credit to someone who deserves it

https://uncomfortableconversations.substack.com/p/the-climat...

tmnvix 5 hours ago | parent [-]

I was under the impression that there have been multiple large extinction events in the past caused by excessive anaerobic decomposition underwater that led to the oceans becoming swamps and giving off nasty toxic gasses.

mempko 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Look at the degrowth movement. There are solutions but nobody, especially the leadership, are going to like them.

CGMthrowaway 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Nobody has to "like" them. The centralized command and control structure is mostly in place to just force them down everyone's throats. Once we have centralized digital currency it will be a foregone conclusion

tmnvix 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If only. Given how power and influence works currently, I would guess that those that have real control over these currencies would most likely use that power as they do now - to further their exploitation and pillaging of the earth with environmental considerations coming a distant second (or third, fourth, whatever...)

__MatrixMan__ 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

How will a centralized digital currency affect whether I decide to burn carbon fuels? If it gets obnoxious enough I can just use a different currency instead.

CGMthrowaway 3 hours ago | parent [-]

That is the point...you can't

personomas 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

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idiotsecant 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

As with most difficult problems, this is a messy political problem, not a technical one. There is zero chance we avoid 1.5C gain. The best you can do is make life decisions for yourself to make your lifetime as comfortable for you as you can, assuming it will happen. I started doing that 5 years ago.

wat10000 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Technologically practical? Certainly. Kick renewables and electrification into high gear. Treat it like the emergency that it is.

Politically practical? Not a chance. It was already a major struggle a decade ago when the political climate was much more favorable to addressing the problem. Now, even the countries that want to do something about it are going to be more concerned about more immediate threats like being invaded.

Our best hope is that green technology quickly gets to the point where it so heavily outcompetes CO2-emitting technology that the latter disappears on its own. But this will take longer than it should.

ltbarcly3 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'm not sure what we should do, it's very hard to determine what minimizes harm and maximizes benefits at a global scale. It's certainly not as simple as extremists would like to believe. Certainly it would be much (MUCH) less risky to slow warming as much as possible and maintain constant or slowly reducing CO2 levels.

I think from the standpoint of predicting what will happen, my best guess is that people will use fossil fuels until it is economically not viable to do so. If you want hasten it at an individual level, buy solar panels and have your house disconnected from the grid until fees you pay no longer subsidize fossil fuels. Frown at people and refuse to give them positive social cues when they buy a car that isn't electric. Instead of "oh nice car" just say "it would be so cool if they had a plugin version!". Support electrification of things like heat and water heating so long as it can be powered by non-fossil sources.

In the long run I think solar power, effective battery technology, and the peaking of the global population combine to cause fossil fuel usage to reduce over the next 100 years or so until CO2 levels stabilize. Lots of large CO2 emitters are already leveling off - the output is too high to sustain but at least it's no longer increasing year over year - such as from cement production.

Honestly it's not much but that's what you can do, larger social movements and political action do not work when someone's decision is whether to spend $800 a month or $100 a month to heat their house. Anyone who says it does should buy a thermometer, but instead they will get a plane ticket to the next big city to run around in the street yelling at police (literally the only people paid to not care about your slogans) while nobody really notices.

tantivy 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Electric cars are the savior of the auto industry, not of the climate. It needs to become viable for most people to get around without cars at all. The intensity of their resource consumption, both for manufacture and for infrastructure, independent of their fuel source, cannot scale up for the world population.

SV_BubbleTime 5 hours ago | parent [-]

> Electric cars are the savior of the auto industry

You should check with Ford on that. 19B write off this year

ivan_gammel 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If we are in overshoot scenario even reducing emissions may not be enough. There are warming gases currently trapped in permafrost, the natural carbon storage capacity is very dynamic, so global warming may target new (worse) equilibrium beyond what we think we can achieve in best case scenario.

Projectiboga 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Were you aware that the last time the planet was estimated to have co2 levels over 420ppm the global temperature was 10 degrees Celsius warmer overall? This is the global equilvant of being locked in a car in a sunlit parking lot.

pkdrollsover 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

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