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nsvd2 3 hours ago

If you haven't been paying attention to American politics, there are currently widespread protests due to a woman being shot by ICE last week. It looks like the current administration may be seeking violent unrest in the hopes of delaying elections.

JumpCrisscross 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> looks like the current administration may be seeking violent unrest in the hopes of delaying elections

Civil war requires two militaries. Tiananmen Square wasn’t a civil war.

0xEF an hour ago | parent | next [-]

Not wrong, but don't forget there are many militias with itchy trigger fingers all over the political spectrum here, though admittedly some parties have more affiliated with them than others. It's not a stretch to assume should fighting in the streets escalate beyond ICE shenanigans that larger armies would not quickly congeal from the pocket groups and individuals.

JumpCrisscross an hour ago | parent [-]

> there are many militias with itchy trigger fingers all over the political spectrum here

That’s still not a civil war in the conventional sense. If it gets entrenched and coördinated it could be come something we’ll debate, e.g. the Troubles. But insurgency != civil war.

lukan 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I believe there are plenty of weapons around in the US in general and the police and military is also not 100% behind Trump and MAGA.

johncolanduoni 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

But if there is a civil war, what were you going to be able to do with the USD anyway?

falcor84 an hour ago | parent [-]

Interesting - I found this quantitative historical study [0] showing that while a civil war does significantly increase the likelihood of inflation, only 36% of countries analyzed which had a civil war between 1975-1999 ended up in an inflationary crisis. And with the USD having such a strong foundation, I would expect the risk to be significantly lower.

[0] https://kjis.org/journal/view.html?uid=302&vmd=Full

derektank 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There were large protests in the wake of a law enforcement officer killing someone in 2020 too. Notably, there was not a civil war, even though the Trump administration used the protests as cover for bad behavior then too

PurpleRamen 34 minutes ago | parent [-]

2020 was a single accidental case as the result of a poor system. Many people even from within the system on all levels agreed something went wrong and apologized. Today's situation is different, as the whole system is weaponized on purpose from one specific layer/group against the other layers/groups of the system. It's an internal conflict within the system itself, and a prime-example for justifying a civil war. And at the time Trump was still on the leash of his own adminstration.

GoblinSlayer 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

1. ban guns

2. start civil war

3. ???

4. civil war with stone axes