> In my experience Claude is like a "good junior developer"

We've been saying this for years at this point. I don't disagree with you[1], but when will these tools graduate to "great senior developer", at the very least?

Where are the "superhuman coders by end of 2025" that Sam Altman has promised us? Why is there such a large disconnect between the benchmarks these companies keep promoting, and the actual real world performance of these tools? I mean, I know why, but the grift and gaslighting are exhausting.

[1]: Actually, I wouldn't describe them as "good" junior either. I've worked with good junior developers, and they're far more capable than any "AI" system.

I mean, I'm shipping a vast majority of my code nowadays with Opus 4.5 (and this isn't throwaway personal code, it's real products making real money for a real company). It only fails on certain types of tasks (which by now I kind of have a sense of).

I still determine the architecture in a broad manner, and guide it towards how I want to organize the codebase, but it definitely solves most problems faster and better than I would expect for even a good junior.

Something I've started doing is feeding it errors we see in datadog and having it generate PRs. That alone has fixed a bunch of bugs we wouldn't have had time to address / that were low volume. The quality of the product is most probably net better right now than it would have been without AI. And velocity / latency of changes is much better than it was a year ago (working at the same company, with the same people)