I'm curious about the economic aspects of this. If only experts can use such tools effectively, how big will the total market be and does that warrant the investments?

For companies, if these tools make experts even more special, then experts may get more power certainly when it comes to salary.

So the productively benefits of AI have to be pretty high to overcome this. Does AI make an expert twice as productive?

I have been thinking about this in the last few weeks. First time I see someone commenting about it here.

- If the number of programmers will be drastically reduced, how big of a price increase companies like Anthropic would need to be profitable?

- If you are a manager, you now have a much higher bus factor to deal with. One person leaving means a greater blow on the team's knowledge.

- If the number of programmers will be drastically reduced, the need for managers and middle managers will also decline, no? Hmm...