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esperent 16 hours ago

> But I'm worried for the folks that will get fired. It is not clear what the dynamic at play will be: will companies try to have more people, and to build more?

This is the crux. AI suddenly became good and society hasn't caught on yet. Programmers are a bit ahead of the curve here, being closer to the action of AI. But in a couple of years, if not already, all the other technical and office jobs will be equally affected. Translators, admin, marketing, scientists, writers of all sorts and on and on. Will we just produce more and retain a similar level of employment, or will AI be such a force multiplier that a significant number or even most of these jobs will be gone? Nobody knows yet.

And yet, what I'm even more worried about for their society upending abilities, is robots. These are coming soon and they'll arrive with just as much suddeness and inertia as AI did.

The robots will be as smart as the AI running them, so what happens when they're cheap and smart enough to replace humans in nearly all physical jobs?

Nobody knows the answer to this. But in 5 years, or 10, we will find out.

falloutx 14 hours ago | parent [-]

In one of the scenarios programmers get replaced then the progress slows, thus saving jobs of writers, lawyers, marketing, scientists, artists. At this point I am okay with that scenario seeing how programmers have showed no solidarity while every other field has been rejecting AI. Lawyers have even started hiring junior lawyers back and Art industry has basically shoved AI into a bin of irrelevance.

esperent 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> Art industry

I don't agree, unless by "art industry" what you actually mean is "art establishment".

If we broaden it to mean "anywhere that money is paid, or used to be paid, to people for any kind of artistic endeavor" - even if we limit that to things related to drawing, painting, illustrating, graphic design, 3d design etc. - then AI is definitely replacing or augmenting a ton of human work. Just go on any Photoshop forum. It's all about AI now, just like everywhere else.